nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
LOUISVILLE MAYOR · 3 NOV 2026

Craig Greenberg to win

TruthIndex™
91.9%+0.4 pts in 30 days
Greenberg 91.9%Parrish-Wright 7.2%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 91.5% · Kalshi 92.5% · 2.0 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 3:40 PM ET

Keep track of every 2026 race, liveEvery 2026 race, livemidterms.nijinn.io