nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
OAKLAND MAYOR · 3 NOV 2026

Barbara Lee to win

TruthIndex™
92.3%+2.8 pts in 30 days
Lee 92.3%Grisham 5.9%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 92.0% · Kalshi 92.5% · 0.5 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 3:12 PM ET

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