RENO MAYOR · 3 NOV 2026
Kate Marshall to win
TruthIndex™
89.7%−0.1 pts in 30 days
Marshall 89.7%Taylor 7.8%
Probability implied by prediction-market prices
18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAYProbability implied by prediction-market prices
Polymarket 89.5% · Kalshi 91.0% · 1.5 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 3:12 PM ET