TALLAHASSEE MAYOR · 3 NOV 2026
Loranne Ausley to win
TruthIndex™
54.2%Toss-up+5.4 pts in 30 days
Ausley 54.2%Matlow 46.0%
Probability implied by prediction-market prices
18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAYProbability implied by prediction-market prices
Polymarket 54.5% · Kalshi 53.0% · 3.5 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:34 PM ET