ALASKA SENATE · 3 NOV 2026
Mary Peltola (D) to win
TruthIndex™
73.6%Lean D+7.1 pts in 30 days
Peltola (D) 73.6%Sullivan (R) 25.6%
Probability implied by prediction-market prices
18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAYProbability implied by prediction-market prices
Polymarket 73.5% · Kalshi 74.5% · 1.0 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:34 PM ET