FLORIDA SENATE (SPECIAL) · 3 NOV 2026
Ashley Moody (R) to win
TruthIndex™
91.4%Safe R−0.3 pts in 30 days
Moody (R) 91.4%Nixon (D) 8.8%
Probability implied by prediction-market prices
18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAYProbability implied by prediction-market prices
Polymarket 90.5% · Kalshi 91.5% · 1.0 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:22 PM ET