nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
IDAHO SENATE · 3 NOV 2026

Jim Risch (R) to win

TruthIndex™
95.2%Safe R−0.4 pts in 30 days
Risch (R) 95.2%(Polymarket) (I) 4.7%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 95.6% · Kalshi 95.2% · 0.4 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:34 PM ET

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