nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
ILLINOIS SENATE · 3 NOV 2026

Juliana Stratton (D) to win

TruthIndex™
98.4%Safe D+1.4 pts in 30 days
Stratton (D) 98.4%Tracy (R) 1.5%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 98.6% · Kalshi 98.4% · 0.2 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:22 PM ET

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