IOWA SENATE · 3 NOV 2026
Ashley Hinson (R) to win
TruthIndex™
57.0%Toss-up−2.0 pts in 30 days
Hinson (R) 57.0%Turek (D) 43.6%
Probability implied by prediction-market prices
18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAYProbability implied by prediction-market prices
Polymarket 58.5% · Kalshi 56.5% · 3.0 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:28 PM ET