nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
KANSAS SENATE · 3 NOV 2026

Roger Marshall (R) to win

TruthIndex™
64.1%Lean R−11.9 pts in 30 days
Marshall (R) 64.1%Hamilton (D) 36.3%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 63.5% · Kalshi 64.5% · 2.0 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:28 PM ET

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