nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
MAINE SENATE · 3 NOV 2026

Troy Jackson (D) to win

TruthIndex™
57.1%Toss-up−11.9 pts in 30 days
Jackson (D) 57.1%Collins (R) 43.0%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 59.5% · Kalshi 56.5% · 3.0 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:28 PM ET

Keep track of every 2026 race, liveEvery 2026 race, livemidterms.nijinn.io