nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
MASSACHUSETTS SENATE · 3 NOV 2026

Ed Markey (D) to win

TruthIndex™
98.0%Safe D+0.4 pts in 30 days
Markey (D) 98.0%Deaton (R) 2.0%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 98.2% · Kalshi 98.0% · 0.4 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:28 PM ET

Keep track of every 2026 race, liveEvery 2026 race, livemidterms.nijinn.io