nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
MICHIGAN SENATE · 3 NOV 2026

Abdul El-Sayed (D) to win

TruthIndex™
68.5%Lean D+3.0 pts in 30 days
El-Sayed (D) 68.5%Rogers (R) 31.7%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 68.5% · Kalshi 68.5% · 2.0 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:28 PM ET

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