nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
MINNESOTA SENATE · 3 NOV 2026

Peggy Flanagan (D) to win

TruthIndex™
86.6%Likely D−4.5 pts in 30 days
Flanagan (D) 86.6%Tafoya (R) 13.3%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 87.5% · Kalshi 86.5% · 1.0 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:28 PM ET

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