nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
NEW HAMPSHIRE SENATE · 3 NOV 2026

Chris Pappas (D) to win

TruthIndex™
89.2%Likely D+7.4 pts in 30 days
Pappas (D) 89.2%Sununu (R) 11.4%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 88.5% · Kalshi 89.5% · 2.0 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:34 PM ET

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