nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
NEW MEXICO SENATE · 3 NOV 2026

Ben Ray Luján (D) to win

TruthIndex™
97.1%Safe D−0.3 pts in 30 days
Luján (D) 97.1%Marker (R) 2.2%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 97.4% · Kalshi 97.1% · 0.3 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:28 PM ET

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