nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
OKLAHOMA SENATE · 3 NOV 2026

Kevin Hern (R) to win

TruthIndex™
97.1%Safe R+1.0 pts in 30 days
Hern (R) 97.1%Thomas (D) 2.7%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 97.4% · Kalshi 97.0% · 0.6 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:28 PM ET

Keep track of every 2026 race, liveEvery 2026 race, livemidterms.nijinn.io