OREGON SENATE · 3 NOV 2026
Jeff Merkley (D) to win
TruthIndex™
97.8%Safe D−0.1 pts in 30 days
Merkley (D) 97.8%Smith (R) 1.5%
Probability implied by prediction-market prices
18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAYProbability implied by prediction-market prices
Polymarket 97.8% · Kalshi 97.8% · 0.5 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:22 PM ET