nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
SOUTH DAKOTA SENATE · 3 NOV 2026

Mike Rounds (R) to win

TruthIndex™
91.1%Safe R−2.5 pts in 30 days
Rounds (R) 91.1%(Polymarket) (I) 7.6%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 91.8% · Kalshi 91.0% · 0.8 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:34 PM ET

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