nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
TENNESSEE SENATE · 3 NOV 2026

Bill Hagerty (R) to win

TruthIndex™
95.0%Safe R−1.6 pts in 30 days
Hagerty (R) 95.0%Bradshaw (D) 4.6%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 95.6% · Kalshi 94.9% · 0.7 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:28 PM ET

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