VIRGINIA SENATE · 3 NOV 2026
Mark Warner (D) to win
TruthIndex™
97.8%Safe D+1.2 pts in 30 days
Warner (D) 97.8%Mizusawa (R) 2.6%
Probability implied by prediction-market prices
18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAYProbability implied by prediction-market prices
Polymarket 98.0% · Kalshi 97.7% · 0.5 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:28 PM ET