North Dakota 2026 elections
North Dakota, an Upper Midwest prairie state, elects its single at-large US House member and decides two constitutional measures on November 3, 2026.
Unknown authorUnknown author, public domain, via Wikimedia Commons- Capital
- Bismarck
- Largest city
- Fargo
- Population
- 799,358 (2025 estimate)
- Statehood
- 39th/40th state (November 2, 1889)
Current officeholders
House
| Contest | Leader | Rating | TruthIndex™ | Polymarket | Kalshi | Spread | 24h | 7 days | Volume | Trend | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ND-AL House | RJulie Fedorchak | Safe R | 96.4% | 96.2% | 97.6% | 1.4 pts | 0.0 | −0.5 | 71.2K |
Political landscape in North Dakota
Overview
North Dakota is a landlocked Upper Midwest state named for the Dakota and Sioux peoples. Saskatchewan and Manitoba lie to the north, with Minnesota, South Dakota and Montana on its other sides. The state belongs to the Great Plains, with prairie, steppe, badlands and farmland. It is 19th in area, and with just under 800,000 people it is fourth-least populous and fourth-lowest in density. Bismarck is the capital and Fargo the largest city, home to nearly a fifth of residents. Dakota Territory was organized in 1861, and the Homestead Act and the Dakota Boom brought large wheat farms. North and South Dakota entered the Union together on November 2, 1889; President Benjamin Harrison shuffled the papers before signing, so the pair are numbered alphabetically, 39th and 40th. The Bank of North Dakota is the nation's only state-owned bank, and oil from the Bakken formation has driven recent growth.
Officeholders
As of October 2026, Governor Kelly Armstrong and US Senators John Hoeven and Kevin Cramer are all Republicans.
2026 elections
On November 3, 2026, North Dakota will fill its at-large US House seat and vote on Constitutional Measures 1 and 2.
Ballot measures
| Contest | Leader | Rating | TruthIndex™ | Polymarket | Kalshi | Spread | 24h | 7 days | Volume | Trend | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Dakota: Constitutional Measure 1 Yes |
Yes | Likely No | 16.0% Kalshi only |
– | 16.0% | – | 0.0 | +0.5 | 4.9K | ||
| North Dakota: Constitutional Measure 2 Yes |
Yes | Toss-up | 57.0% Kalshi only |
– | 57.0% | – | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2 |