Louisiana 2026 elections
Louisiana, a Gulf Coast state shaped by French heritage, holds a 2026 US Senate election along with six House races and ten statewide ballot measures.
- Capital
- Baton Rouge
- Largest city
- New Orleans
- Population
- 4.62M (2025 estimate)
- Statehood
- 18th state (April 30, 1812)
Current officeholders
House
| Contest | Leader | Rating | TruthIndex™ | Polymarket | Kalshi | Spread | 24h | 7 days | Volume | Trend | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LA-06 House RRepublican Party |
RRepublican Party | Safe R | 92.7% | 92.5% | 93.4% | 0.9 pts | −0.6 | +0.5 | 113.8K | ||
| LA-04 House RRepublican Party |
RRepublican Party | Safe R | 94.5% | 94.5% | 96.5% | 2.0 pts | 0.0 | −0.7 | 21.5K | ||
| LA-03 House RRepublican Party |
RRepublican Party | Safe R | 95.5% | 95.5% | 97.2% | 1.7 pts | 0.0 | −1.2 | 39.8K | ||
| LA-05 House RRepublican Party |
RRepublican Party | Safe R | 95.8% | 95.4% | 96.5% | 1.6 pts | −0.2 | −0.2 | 41.0K | ||
| LA-01 House RRepublican Party |
RRepublican Party | Safe R | 96.5% | 96.2% | 97.5% | 1.8 pts | −0.1 | +0.1 | 56.8K | ||
| LA-02 House DDemocratic Party |
DDemocratic Party | Safe D | 97.7% | 97.5% | 97.8% | 0.5 pts | −0.4 | −0.9 | 94.4K |
House seats Democrats win in Louisiana
Each venue's market, shown on its own.
Kalshi7.7K contracts
How many House seats will Democrats win in Louisiana?
| 0 | 3.0% | |
| 1 | 93.0% | |
| 2 | 4.0% | |
| Above 2 | 3.0% |
Political landscape in Louisiana
Overview
Louisiana lies in the Deep South on the Gulf of Mexico, with Texas lying to its west, Arkansas to its north and Mississippi to its east; much of its eastern edge follows the Mississippi River. Among the states it is 31st by area and 25th by population, with about 4.6 million residents, and it is divided into parishes in place of counties. Baton Rouge is the capital and New Orleans is the largest city. Much of the land formed from river sediment, producing broad deltas, coastal marshes and swamps. France claimed the territory in 1682; it was under Spanish rule from 1762 to 1801 and returned briefly to France before Napoleon sold it to the United States in 1803, and it became the 18th state in 1812. After statehood it saw an agricultural boom in cotton and sugarcane, crops cultivated mainly by enslaved people. Its French heritage is reflected in its dialects, culture and legal system, alongside Spanish, Acadian, Creole and West African influences.
Officeholders
As of October 2026, Governor Jeff Landry and US Senators Bill Cassidy and John Kennedy are all Republicans.
2026 elections
Louisiana's November 3, 2026 ballot includes a US Senate race, elections in all six House districts, and ten ballot measures on topics such as gubernatorial term limits, post-conviction bail and property tax exemptions.
Ballot measures
| Contest | Leader | Rating | TruthIndex™ | Polymarket | Kalshi | Spread | 24h | 7 days | Volume | Trend | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisiana: Rehabilitated Blighted Property Tax Exemption Amendment Yes |
Yes | Lean No | 40.0% Kalshi only |
– | 40.0% | – | +0.5 | −0.5 | 6.5K | ||
| Louisiana: Retirement Debt Funding Yes |
Yes | Toss-up | 53.0% Kalshi only |
– | 53.0% | – | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.9K | ||
| Louisiana: Property Tax Millage Yes |
Yes | Toss-up | 55.5% Kalshi only |
– | 55.5% | – | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.9K | ||
| Louisiana: Private Water Line Funding Yes |
Yes | Lean Yes | 61.0% Kalshi only |
– | 61.0% | – | 0.0 | −0.5 | 5.0K | ||
| Louisiana: Gubernatorial Term Limits Yes |
Yes | Lean Yes | 70.0% Kalshi only |
– | 70.0% | – | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50 | ||
| Louisiana: Senior Tax Freeze Income-Limit Yes |
Yes | Lean Yes | 70.0% Kalshi only |
– | 70.0% | – | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50 | ||
| Louisiana: Post-Conviction Bail Yes |
Yes | Lean Yes | 70.5% Kalshi only |
– | 70.5% | – | −0.5 | −1.5 | 63 | ||
| Louisiana: Foreign Adversary Expropriation Yes |
Yes | Likely Yes | 80.0% Kalshi only |
– | 80.0% | – | −0.5 | −1.0 | 1.0K | ||
| Louisiana: Disabled Veteran Spouse Tax Exemption Yes |
Yes | Likely Yes | 81.0% Kalshi only |
– | 81.0% | – | −0.5 | −1.0 | 2.4K | ||
| Louisiana: Senior Property Tax Exemption Amendment Yes |
Yes | Likely Yes | 81.0% Kalshi only |
– | 81.0% | – | −0.5 | −1.0 | 1.3K |