US Midterms 2026
Type two letters or more. Arrow keys move through the results, Enter opens one, Esc closes.
Recent coverage for Louisiana Senate.
The new spending is the most significant outlay from Kennedy-aligned groups since they helped Rep. Julia Letlow defeat Sen. Bill Cassidy in a Louisiana Republican primary in May.
Voters who plan to vote by mail must request an absentee ballot by Oct. 30 at 4:30 p.m. The deadline does not apply to military and overseas voters.
There are 35 Senate seats up for grabs in the 2026 midterm elections.
NEW ORLEANS (WVUE) - Democratic U.S. Senate candidate Jamie Davis of Louisiana released two new campaign ads on Wednesday ahead of the start of early voting.
Jamie Davis, a candidate for the U.S. Senate in Louisiana, has launched new campaign ads ahead of the early voting period. The report highlights the campaign’s latest advertising pushes as voters prepare to cast ballots.
DavisLouisiana Gov. Jeff Landry and U.S. Rep. Julia Letlow mapped out an aggressive vision for the state’s economic future during a fireside chat at America’s LNG Summit, positioning Louisiana as the vital engine behind the…
LetlowLouisiana U.S. Senate candidate Jamie Davis, a Democrat, has launched a new TV ad attacking his Republican opponent U.S. Rep. Julia Letlow over controversial stock trades she made in 2024.
Less than a month from now, Louisiana voters will elect one member to fill the seat of Bill Cassidy in the U.S. Senate.
LetlowDavid Crowley, the Milwaukee County Executive since 2020, is a Democratic candidate in Wisconsin's gubernatorial race, challenging Republican Rep. Tom Tiffany to succeed retiring Gov. Tony Evers.
Jamie Davis is challenging Republican Congresswoman Julia Letlow in Louisiana’s U.S. Senate race.
DavisNo story this week names this candidate.
The green line is the TruthIndex™, the chance of this outcome. It combines the prices on both venues and gives more weight to the venue with more money in its order book. The two thinner lines are Polymarket's and Kalshi's own prices, and the grey band between them shows how far apart the two venues are.
The pale bands behind the lines are the rating zones (Toss-up, Lean, Likely and Safe), so you can see when the race moved from one rating to another. Move along the chart, or use the arrow keys, to read the values for each day.
More in Methodology| Outcome | TruthIndex™ | Polymarket | Kalshi | Spread | 24h | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RJulia Letlow | 93.6% | 93.5% | 93.8% | 0.3 pts | – | |
| DJamie Davis | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 0.1 pts | – |
Image cards with the current TruthIndex™, for posts and stories.
X opens with your text; you can edit it there before posting.
Jamie Davis, a Democrat who has served on the Tensas Parish police jury, is his party's 2026 nominee for the U.S. Senate in Louisiana.
Julia Letlow, a Republican who has represented Louisiana's 5th congressional district since 2021, defeated incumbent Bill Cassidy and won her party's 2026 U.S. Senate nomination.
Each venue's margin market, shown on its own: the two venues set their ranges differently.
Louisiana Senate margin of victory
| Letlow, 3+ pts | 93.1% | |
| Letlow, 5+ pts | 88.4% | |
| Letlow, 7+ pts | 82.5% | |
| Letlow, 9+ pts | 75.5% | |
| Letlow, 11+ pts | 67.5% | |
| Letlow, 13+ pts | 57.5% | |
| Letlow, 15+ pts | 47.5% | |
| Letlow, 17+ pts | 37.5% | |
| Letlow, 19+ pts | 29.0% | |
| Letlow, 21+ pts | 21.5% | |
| Letlow, 23+ pts | 14.0% | |
| Letlow, 25+ pts | 8.3% | |
| Letlow, 27+ pts | 5.5% | |
| Letlow, 29+ pts | 7.5% implied | |
| Letlow, 31+ pts | 6.1% implied |
Louisiana Senate Election Margin of Victory
| Democrat Wins | 6.9% | |
| Republican 0-5% | 12.7% | |
| Republican 5-10% | 19.0% | |
| Republican 10-15% | 24.5% | |
| Republican 15-20% | 17.5% | |
| Republican 20-25% | 20.5% | |
| Republican 25-30% | 5.3% | |
| Republican 30-35% | 3.1% | |
| Republican 35%+ | 4.4% |
Prices which party wins.
Julia Letlow: Counted · bid 93.0% / ask 94.0% · $12.2K within 5 pts
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Louisiana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Full rules on PolymarketPrices which party wins.
Julia Letlow: Counted · bid 93.1% / ask 94.6% · $3.1K within 5 pts
Contract shown: Julia Letlow
If a representative of the Republican party is sworn in as a Senator of Louisiana for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
