Top story
Gov. Rhoden speaks on ‘Give Me Five’ program
SIOUX FALLS, S.D. (Dakota News Now) -Earlier this week, Governor Larry Rhoden announced a new program called “Give Me Five.”
KSFY
Rhoden
RhodenUpdated Oct 16, 2026, 1:45 PM ET
Governor · 3 November 2026
South Dakota Governor 2026
- Polymarket
- 97.5%
- Kalshi
- 97.7%
- Spread
- 0.6 pts
- 24h
- –
- 7 days
- +0.8
- Updated
- Oct 16, 2026, 1:45 PM ET
Latest coverage
Live News
Recent coverage for South Dakota Governor.
-
Ex-Biden appointee faces attorney general in US House race with differences on tariffs, immigration
His dad never ran again for statewide office, but was elected multiple times to the county post. There’s more money for lawyers in the private sector, but “our family’s always believed in public service,” Jackley said.
South Dakota Searchlight
Ahlers -
South Dakota Groups Urge Governor to Join Summer Food Assistance Program for Children
PIERRE, S.D. –More than 30 South Dakota organizations and businesses are urging Governor Larry Rhoden to enroll the state in a federal program that helps low-income families buy groceries during the summer.
kotaradio.comRhoden -
South Dakota Midterm Elections: Prediction Market Leaders Today
We’re following the U.S. Senate race between Brian Bengs (I) and Mike Rounds (R) and the gubernatorial race between Dan Ahlers (D) and Larry Rhoden (R), as well as the race for the single U.S. House seat.
-
Flags at Half-Staff Statewide in Honor of Deputy Katherine Ann Frank | State News
Governor Rhoden has also directed flags to be flown at half-staff on Sunday, October 18, 2026, the day preceding Deputy Frank's funeral, to pay tribute to her and all fallen law enforcement officers who have made the…
mykxlg.comRhoden -
Flags at Half-Staff Statewide in Honor of Deputy Katherine Ann Frank
PIERRE, S.D. – Today, Governor Larry Rhoden ordered that flags be flown at half-staff statewide from sunrise until sunset on Monday, October 19, 2026, in honor of Minnehaha County Sheriff’s Deputy Katherine Ann Frank,…
drgnews.comRhoden
More coverage 7
-
Advocates again ask governor to endorse summer food program operating in 39 states | Local News
PIERRE: Thirty-four South Dakota organizations and businesses have asked Gov. Larry Rhoden to support a program that offers debit cards for food to low-income families during the summer months.
bhpioneer.comRhoden -
GOVERNOR RHODEN TO ATTEND OCT. 20 GROUNDBREAKING FOR NEW HOSPITAL AND CLINIC
A touchstone event next week that will mark a significant moment in the 75-year history of Freeman Regional Health Services (FRHS) will be made even more special by the appearance of a distinguished guest.
freemansd.comRhoden -
South Dakota Launches ‘Give Me Five’ Down Payment Aid
RAPID CITY, S.D. (KOTA) - First-time homebuyers in South Dakota could get help with their down payment through a new state program launching Nov. 2.
KOTARhoden -
MEMORIAL SERVICE SET FOR KATHERINE FRANK
SOUTH DAKOTA GOVERNOR LARRY RHODEN HAS ORDERED FLAGS TO BE FLOWN AT HALF-STAFF STATEWIDE FROM SUNRISE UNTIL SUNSET ON MONDAY, OCTOBER 19 IN HONOR OF MINNEHAHA COUNTY SHERIFF’S DEPUTY KATHERINE ANN FRANK, WHO TRAGICALLY…
kscj.comRhoden -
Flags to be flown at half-staff in honor of Deputy Katherine Ann Frank
Avera Medical MinuteSomeone You Should KnowTouchstone Energy Scholar of the WeekStronger FamiliesFallen Deputy Katherine FrankElections 2026
KSFYRhoden -
SD Board of Economic Development approves tax rebates for 333 megawatt wind farm project
The South Dakota Board of Economic Development voted Tuesday to approve $6.1 million in tax rebates for the state’s largest wind energy project.
dakotabroadcasting.comRhoden -
Dan Ahlers: Democrat seeking SD top office says he knows how to win uphill battles
Meet Dan Ahlers: The former legislator from Dell Rapids is running for governor: an office that Dems in the state haven't held for 47 years.
Argus LeaderAhlers
No story this week names this candidate.
Larry Rhoden, last 60 days
How to read this chart
The green line is the TruthIndex™, the chance of this outcome. It combines the prices on both venues and gives more weight to the venue with more money in its order book. The two thinner lines are Polymarket's and Kalshi's own prices, and the grey band between them shows how far apart the two venues are.
The pale bands behind the lines are the rating zones (Toss-up, Lean, Likely and Safe), so you can see when the race moved from one rating to another. Move along the chart, or use the arrow keys, to read the values for each day.
More in MethodologyAll outcomes
| Outcome | TruthIndex™ | Polymarket | Kalshi | Spread | 24h | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RLarry Rhoden | 97.6% | 97.5% | 97.7% | 0.1 pts | – | |
| DDan Ahlers | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.6 pts | – |
Share this race
Image cards with the current TruthIndex™, for posts and stories.
Post on X
X opens with your text; you can edit it there before posting.
Embed the live card
Candidates & Background
Dan Ahlers
Democratic Executive Director of the South Dakota Democratic Party (since 2023)
Dan Ahlers, a former South Dakota state legislator and the 2020 U.S. Senate nominee, is the Democratic nominee for governor of South Dakota in the November 2026 election.
Larry Rhoden
Republican Governor of South Dakota (since 2025)
Larry Rhoden, a Republican who became governor of South Dakota in January 2025, is seeking his first full term in the November 2026 election.
Margin of victory
Each venue's margin market, shown on its own: the two venues set their ranges differently.
Kalshi2.8K contracts
South Dakota Governor margin of victory
| Rhoden, 6+ pts | 94.2% | |
| Rhoden, 9+ pts | 88.1% | |
| Rhoden, 12+ pts | 79.0% | |
| Rhoden, 15+ pts | 65.5% | |
| Rhoden, 18+ pts | 52.5% | |
| Rhoden, 21+ pts | 39.5% | |
| Rhoden, 24+ pts | 26.5% | |
| Rhoden, 27+ pts | 16.5% | |
| Rhoden, 30+ pts | 8.3% | |
| Rhoden, 33+ pts | 4.3% | |
| Rhoden, 36+ pts | 6.0% implied |
Polymarket$19.8K traded
South Dakota Governor Election Margin of Victory
| Democrat Wins | 1.1% | |
| Republican 0-10% | 2.8% | |
| Republican 10-15% | 7.5% | |
| Republican 15-20% | – | |
| Republican 20-25% | 23.5% | |
| Republican 25-30% | 22.5% | |
| Republican 30-35% | 4.8% | |
| Republican 35-40% | 0.9% | |
| Republican 40-45% | 0.9% | |
| Republican 45%+ | 0.7% |
Each venue's market
Polymarket$27.2K traded
Prices which party wins.
Larry Rhoden: Counted · bid 96.4% / ask 98.7% · $6.3K within 5 pts
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 South Dakota gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the "Democrat" or "Republican" options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven't called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Full rules on PolymarketKalshi9.4K contracts traded
Prices which party wins.
Larry Rhoden: Counted · bid 97.1% / ask 98.3% · $4.7K within 5 pts
Contract shown: Larry Rhoden
If a representative of the Republican party is inaugurated as the governor of South Dakota pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Also in South Dakota
- South Dakota SenateR91%
- SD-AL HouseR95%