nijinnUS Midterms 2026
Updated Oct 16, 2026, 1:45 PM ET
Governor · 3 November 2026

Kansas Governor 2026

75.0% RTy Masterson leads TruthIndex™Lean R
Polymarket
74.5%
Kalshi
75.5%
Spread
2.0 pts
24h
–
7 days
−0.5
Updated
Oct 16, 2026, 1:45 PM ET
Latest coverage

Live News

Recent coverage for Kansas Governor.

  1. Records shed light on Ty Masterson’s GoCreate director role

    The Kansas Senate President, Ty Masterson, has faced scrutiny over his role as GoCreate director at Wichita State University (WSU) as he runs for governor.

    Kansas City StarMastersonHolscher
  2. Culver City, California could become the 16th municipality to allow 16-year-olds to vote in local or school board elections

    Alaska: Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins (D), David Bronson (R), Treg Taylor (R), and Bernadette Wilson (R) advanced to the general election from the top-four primary). Incumbent Gov. Mike Dunleavy (R) is term-limited.

    news.ballotpedia.orgKreiss-TomkinsParsiBronsonHolscher
  3. Will Kansas senator Jerry Moran attend Trump’s Wichita rally?

    The article discusses Kansas political figures ahead of a Trump rally in Wichita, focusing on how different Republicans, including Senate candidate Roger Marshall, Senate President Ty Masterson, and Senator Jerry Moran,…

    Kansas City StarMasterson
  4. Headlines for Thursday, October 16, 2026

    Ty Masterson, the Republican candidate for Kansas governor, accused Democratic rival Cindy Holscher of using witchcraft to win the race.

    KANVMasterson
  5. Kansas Senate race tight before Trump’s Wichita visit

    The Kansas Senate race in which Derek Schmidt and others are involved is tight, with polling showing varying leads for candidates, and some polls suggesting Hamilton leads by 1–3% while others show a tie (including a…

    Kansas City StarMastersonHolscher
More coverage 10
  1. Hamilton Leads Kansas Senate Race, Forcing GOP Spending

    The article discusses the Kansas governor’s race, highlighting that Republican leaders (including State Senate President Ty Masterson) are polling ahead against Democrat Cindy Holscher for the open governor’s seat, with…

    GokhshteinHolscher
  2. Aurora says it’s “actively exploring” alternatives to Curaleaf

    Cindy Holscher, the Kansas Democratic nominee for governor, argues that Kansas should legalize cannabis now.

    cultivated.newsHolscher
  3. Democrats are defending five governorships in states Trump won in 2024, Republicans are defending two in states Harris won

    Alaska: Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins (D), David Bronson (R), Treg Taylor (R), and Bernadette Wilson (R) advanced to the general election from the top-four primary). Incumbent Gov. Mike Dunleavy (R) is term-limited.

    news.ballotpedia.orgKreiss-TomkinsBronsonBecerraMastersonHobbsCrowley
  4. Someone has to clean up the crap in Topeka.

    Cindy Holscher announces her candidacy for Governor of Kansas. She uses her background growing up on a farm to create an analogy between cleaning up animal

    www.facebook.comSocial postHolscher
  5. Cindy in the News | Cindy Holscher for Governor

    Holscher, elected to the Legislature nearly a decade ago, has been endorsed by Kelly and former Democratic Govs. Kathleen Sebelius and John Carlin.

    cindyforkansas.comHolscher
  6. 🚨NEW AD: I will always put Kansas families first. ...

    Today, Senator Cindy Holscher announced she's been endorsed by more than two dozen leaders across Kansas in her campaign for governor.

    www.facebook.comSocial postHolscher
  7. 100 Kansas Republicans Are Now Backing Cindy Holscher for Governor

    Throughout her time in Topeka, Holscher has brought Republicans and Democrats together around practical and pragmatic solutions.

    cindyforkansas.comHolscher
  8. GOP gubernatorial candidate touts Dem support as KS races tighten

    Ty Masterson, the Kansas Republican gubernatorial nominee, released an ad titled Democrats for Ty Masterson, highlighting votes from Democrats and union members supporting his campaign against Democrat state Sen.

    Washington ExaminerMasterson
  9. Republicans Held On to the Great Plains for Years. Now They're Nervous. | Nyt-feed

    The article discusses Republicans’ historical strength on the Great Plains and why current dynamics are causing Nervousness, highlighting Kansas where term-limited Governor Sarah?

    The Daily GazetteMasterson
  10. Kansas Governor candidates on Medicaid and federal cuts

    Focus: Kansas GOP candidates Ty Masterson and Jeffrey Klemp discuss Medicaid.

    johnsoncountypost.comMasterson

Ty Masterson, last 60 days

How to read this chart

The green line is the TruthIndex™, the chance of this outcome. It combines the prices on both venues and gives more weight to the venue with more money in its order book. The two thinner lines are Polymarket's and Kalshi's own prices, and the grey band between them shows how far apart the two venues are.

The pale bands behind the lines are the rating zones (Toss-up, Lean, Likely and Safe), so you can see when the race moved from one rating to another. Move along the chart, or use the arrow keys, to read the values for each day.

More in Methodology
TruthIndex™PolymarketKalshiGap between the venuesRating zones

All outcomes

OutcomeTruthIndex™PolymarketKalshiSpread24h
RTy Masterson 75.0% 74.5% 75.5% 1.0 pts –
DCindy Holscher 23.9% 22.5% 24.5% 2.0 pts –
PolymarketKalshi

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Candidates & Background

Cindy Holscher

Cindy Holscher

Democratic Member of the Kansas Senate from the 8th district (since 2021)

Cindy Holscher, a Kansas state senator since 2021, is the Democratic nominee for governor of Kansas in 2026, running to succeed term-limited Governor Laura Kelly.

Born 1969 · Slater, Missouri
Ty Masterson

Ty Masterson

Republican President of the Kansas Senate (since 2021)

Ty Masterson, a Republican who has served as president of the Kansas Senate since 2021, is his party's nominee in the 2026 election for governor of Kansas.

Born 1969 · El Dorado, Kansas

Margin of victory

Each venue's margin market, shown on its own: the two venues set their ranges differently.

Kalshi4.1K contracts

Kansas Governor margin of victory

Masterson, 2+ pts
64.0%
Masterson, 5+ pts
48.5%
Masterson, 8+ pts
31.0%
Masterson, 11+ pts
18.0%
Masterson, 14+ pts
9.5%
Masterson, 17+ pts
4.4%
Masterson, 20+ pts
3.9%
Source: Kalshi market

Kalshi2.0K contracts

Kansas Governor margin of victory

Holscher, 1+ pts
22.0%
Holscher, 4+ pts
10.6%
Source: Kalshi market

Polymarket$13.2K traded

Kansas Governor Election Margin of Victory

Holscher 6%+
1.9%
Holscher 3-6%
10.5%
Holscher 0-3%
12.0%
Masterson 0-3%
19.5%
Masterson 3-6%
20.1%
Masterson 6-9%
14.4%
Masterson 9-12%
16.2%
Masterson 12-15%
4.6%
Masterson 15-18%
4.6%
Masterson 18%+
3.8%
Source: Polymarket market

Each venue's market

Polymarket$63.5K traded

Prices which party wins.

Ty Masterson: Counted · bid 74.0% / ask 75.0% · $59.9K within 5 pts

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Kansas gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Full rules on Polymarket

Kalshi160.6K contracts traded

Prices which party wins.

Ty Masterson: Counted · bid 75.0% / ask 76.0% · $58.0K within 5 pts

Contract shown: Ty Masterson

If a representative of the Republican party is inaugurated as the governor of Kansas pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.

This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Full rules on Kalshi

Also in Kansas

  1. Kansas SenateR64%
  2. KS-01 HouseR95%
  3. KS-02 HouseR87%
  4. KS-03 HouseD95%
  5. KS-04 HouseR95%