Updated Oct 16, 2026, 2:28 PM ET
Ballot measure · 3 November 2026

Idaho: Drug Legalization Authority Amendment

– Probability the measure passes TruthIndex™
Polymarket
–
Kalshi
45.5%
Spread
–
24h
–
7 days
–
Updated
Oct 16, 2026, 2:28 PM ET

Yes price, last 60 days

How to read this chart

The green line is the TruthIndex™, the chance of this outcome. Only one venue lists it, so the figure comes from that venue alone. The thinner line is that venue's own daily price.

The pale bands behind the lines are the rating zones (Toss-up, Lean, Likely and Safe), so you can see when the race moved from one rating to another. Move along the chart, or use the arrow keys, to read the values for each day.

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TruthIndex™KalshiRating zones

Prices

OutcomeTruthIndex™Kalshi24h
Yes – 45.5% –

Each venue's market

Kalshi11.7K contracts traded

Prices whether the measure passes.

Yes: Not counted: bid and ask more than 10 pts apart · bid 25.0% / ask 66.0%

If Drug Legalization Authority Amendment passes in Idaho, then the market resolves to Yes.

This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.

Full rules on Kalshi