US Midterms 2026
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Recent coverage for Hawaii Governor.
Key state senators plan to summon Hawaii’s homelessness coordinator, HomeAid Hawai‘i’s chief executive officer, and the state auditor to a November briefing as lawmakers consider potential changes to Gov.
Every two years both Congressional Districts are up for election.View theprimary contests.
Gov. Josh Green rallies fans to donate to UH student-athletes, highlighting how local sports bring hope and unity to the islands.
GreenThe article reports that Hawaii Gov. Josh Green, county mayors, labor unions, and contractors are urging voters to support Proposal 2 on the ballot.
Hawaii Governor Josh Green requested federal aid after Hurricane Lowell, leading to a Major Disaster Declaration approved by the White House on Oct. 7.
GreenThe article covers Hawaii Governor Josh Green attending the groundbreaking ceremony for a new $156 million elementary school in East Kapolei.
GreenHawaii Gov. Josh Green is campaigning for voters to approve a constitutional amendment authorizing a new financing method, called RISE bonds, to fund infrastructure without raising property taxes.
GreenThe article honors George Ariyoshi as the first Asian American to become governor of Hawaii, highlighting his century-long life from a Honolulu upbringing to the state’s highest office.
CorderyTopic: The article covers six candidates competing for three at-large OHA (Office of Hawaiian Affairs) trustee seats in Hawaii.
CorderyTopic: Hawaii Governor Josh Green defends speed and spending of the Kauhale Initiative (emergency housing for homeless in Hawai‘i).
CorderyNew Jersey Gov. Mikie Sherrill’s administration is “examining who the program would serve, which opportunities are available, and how it could best benefit public school students,” a spokesperson said.
No story this week names this candidate.
The green line is the TruthIndex™, the chance of this outcome. It combines the prices on both venues and gives more weight to the venue with more money in its order book. The two thinner lines are Polymarket's and Kalshi's own prices, and the grey band between them shows how far apart the two venues are.
The pale bands behind the lines are the rating zones (Toss-up, Lean, Likely and Safe), so you can see when the race moved from one rating to another. Move along the chart, or use the arrow keys, to read the values for each day.
More in Methodology| Outcome | TruthIndex™ | Polymarket | Kalshi | Spread | 24h | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DJosh Green | 98.7% | 99.2% | 98.6% | 0.6 pts | – | |
| RGary Cordery | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.5 pts | – |
Image cards with the current TruthIndex™, for posts and stories.
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Gary Cordery, a businessman, is the 2026 Republican nominee for governor of Hawaii, challenging Democratic incumbent Josh Green after winning the August 8 primary.
Josh Green, a Democrat and physician, has served as governor of Hawaii since 2022 and is seeking a second term in the November 3, 2026 election.
Each venue's margin market, shown on its own: the two venues set their ranges differently.
Hawaii Governor margin of victory
| Green, 14+ pts | 95.5% implied | |
| Green, 17+ pts | 95.4% implied | |
| Green, 20+ pts | 94.3% implied | |
| Green, 23+ pts | 95.8% | |
| Green, 26+ pts | 91.3% | |
| Green, 29+ pts | 81.5% | |
| Green, 32+ pts | 67.5% | |
| Green, 35+ pts | 51.5% | |
| Green, 38+ pts | 37.5% | |
| Green, 41+ pts | 17.5% | |
| Green, 44+ pts | 7.0% |
Hawaii Governor Election Margin of Victory
| Republican Wins | 0.3% | |
| Democrat 0-10% | 0.1% | |
| Democrat 10-15% | 0.1% implied | |
| Democrat 15-20% | 0.1% implied | |
| Democrat 20-25% | 0.3% | |
| Democrat 25-30% | 16.5% | |
| Democrat 30-35% | 18.5% | |
| Democrat 35-40% | 19.0% | |
| Democrat 40-45% | 19.5% | |
| Democrat 45%+ | 15.6% |
Prices which party wins.
Josh Green: Counted · bid 99.0% / ask 99.3% · $2.1K within 5 pts
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Full rules on PolymarketPrices which party wins.
Josh Green: Counted · bid 98.1% / ask 99.0% · $8.6K within 5 pts
Contract shown: Josh Green
If a representative of the Democratic party is inaugurated as the governor of Hawaii pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
