US Midterms 2026
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Recent coverage for Vermont Governor.
The Manchester Journal followed up with Rodgers after the cameras went dark, and asked Rodgers about the possibility of being elected alongside Democratic nominee for Governor Amanda Janoo.
JanooIncumbent Republican Gov. Phil Scott and Democratic challenger Amanda Janoo are sharing their thoughts Thursday after the Republican Governor’s Association funded a Vermont super PAC.
Amanda Janoo wants to make Vermont a national leader on regulating AI. Phil Scott says that’s better left to the feds, working together with tech companies.
Amanda Janoo is not just a fresh voice in Vermont’s political landscape, she’s a bold and critical thinker ready to tackle the state’s biggest problems, a savvy economist skilled in the ways to make small economies work…
JanooAmanda Janoo intends to change the system that isn’t working for Vermonters. In her career she has listened to and collaborated with governments and communities across the United States and around the world “to devise…
JanooIn March of this year, Vermont Public Service Commissioner Kerrick Johnson stated on Vermont Public's Vermont Edition, "Vermonters should be able to determine (Vermont's) energy portfolio." Fair enough, though he and…
ScottThe Observer asked the two candidates for their responses to the following questions ahead of the Nov. 3 General Election.
JanooAlex and TJ attended GlobalFoundries's solar field opening ceremony on Monday, October 5th.
ScottThe youth vote could have an impact on Vermont’s gubernatorial election. Phil Scott has been governor since 2016, when this year’s young voters were between 8 and 19 years old.
Democratic gubernatorial candidate Amanda Janoo has advocated for “degrowth,” an economic approach that calls for reducing production and consumption in some sectors rather than pursuing economic growth as a primary…
The matchup between Scott and Janoo amounts to a contrast in both style and substance.
ScottVermont is rare among states this election season. It has two statewide elections on the ballot – one U.S. House seat and one governor’s race – that are both considered safe for incumbents who are in opposing parties.
ScottAmanda Janoo, candidate for governor, has been tirelessly traversing our state for the past 8 months. She’s been here, in Franklin County, talking to residents a total of six times over those 8 months.
JanooAmanda Janoo, 38, grew up in Stratford, and “went to one of these small schools that had school choice.” She went to Hanover High school, then studied Political Science at Macalester College.
JanooNo story this week names this candidate.
The green line is the TruthIndex™, the chance of this outcome. It combines the prices on both venues and gives more weight to the venue with more money in its order book. The two thinner lines are Polymarket's and Kalshi's own prices, and the grey band between them shows how far apart the two venues are.
The pale bands behind the lines are the rating zones (Toss-up, Lean, Likely and Safe), so you can see when the race moved from one rating to another. Move along the chart, or use the arrow keys, to read the values for each day.
More in Methodology| Outcome | TruthIndex™ | Polymarket | Kalshi | Spread | 24h | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RPhil Scott | 76.3% | 76.0% | 76.5% | 0.5 pts | – | |
| DAmanda Janoo | 24.4% | 24.3% | 24.5% | 0.2 pts | – |
Image cards with the current TruthIndex™, for posts and stories.
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Amanda Janoo, an economist, is the Democratic challenger to Republican governor Phil Scott in Vermont's gubernatorial election on November 3, 2026.
Phil Scott, Republican governor of Vermont since 2017 and a former lieutenant governor, state senator and construction business owner, is running for a sixth two-year term in 2026.
Each venue's margin market, shown on its own: the two venues set their ranges differently.
Vermont Governor margin of victory
| Republicans, 2+ pts | 69.0% | |
| Republicans, 5+ pts | 53.0% | |
| Republicans, 8+ pts | 39.5% | |
| Republicans, 11+ pts | 26.0% | |
| Republicans, 14+ pts | 16.0% | |
| Republicans, 17+ pts | 12.6% | |
| Republicans, 20+ pts | 10.0% | |
| Republicans, 23+ pts | 8.0% | |
| Republicans, 26+ pts | 5.3% | |
| Republicans, 29+ pts | 6.6% | |
| Republicans, 32+ pts | 6.6% | |
| Republicans, 35+ pts | 5.0% implied | |
| Republicans, 38+ pts | 5.0% implied | |
| Republicans, 41+ pts | 5.0% implied | |
| Republicans, 44+ pts | 5.0% implied |
Vermont Governor Election Margin of Victory
| Democrat Wins | 26.5% | |
| Republican 0-5% | 27.5% | |
| Republican 5-10% | 22.5% | |
| Republican 10-15% | 17.5% | |
| Republican 15-20% | 4.3% | |
| Republican 20-25% | 3.1% | |
| Republican 25-30% | 1.4% | |
| Republican 30%+ | 2.2% |
Prices which party wins.
Phil Scott: Counted · bid 75.0% / ask 77.0% · $55.9K within 5 pts
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the "Democrat" or "Republican" options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven't called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Full rules on PolymarketPrices which party wins.
Phil Scott: Counted · bid 76.0% / ask 77.0% · $64.1K within 5 pts
Contract shown: Phil Scott
If a representative of the Republican party is inaugurated as the governor of Vermont pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
