US Midterms 2026
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Recent coverage for Wyoming Governor.
Eric Barlow, the Republican candidate for Wyoming governor, defended his conservative record and laid out his vision for the state.
The Wyoming governor debate on Oct. 14, 2026 featured Republican Eric Barlow, Democrat Kenneth Casner, and Constitution Party candidate Rebecca Bextel.
Core priorities: protect public lands for multiple use and local access (hunting, fishing, recreation, agriculture, energy), strengthen healthcare with a Healthcare Strike Team, and govern with decisions made closer to…
Bextel repeatedly attacked Barlow, calling him a “swamp creature” and a “Democrat,” and accusing him of past voting for “scams.”
The article covers Rebecca Bextel, a Republican-leaning candidate running in Wyoming’s gubernatorial race who initially entered the race as a placeholder for the Constitution Party.
UW and Wyoming SBDC Network to host Small Business Showcase in Cheyenne
BarlowUW and Wyoming SBDC Network to host Small Business Showcase in Cheyenne
BarlowRepublican primary winner Eric Barlow faces Democrat Ken Casner and Constitution Party candidate Rebecca Bextel in the general election.
BarlowShe has also been involved in a legal battle with the Wyoming Game and Fish Department in a case that both sides have said centers access to public lands.
The article discusses Proposition 1 (Prop 1) in Wyoming and argues that if it passes, residents of Teton County would benefit the most.
CasnerPBS announces election debates in Riverton. The article notes a series of debates beginning today, Oct. 14, at the Riverton High School Auditorium: governor candidates at 7 p.m.
CasnerNo story this week names this candidate.
The green line is the TruthIndex™, the chance of this outcome. It combines the prices on both venues and gives more weight to the venue with more money in its order book. The two thinner lines are Polymarket's and Kalshi's own prices, and the grey band between them shows how far apart the two venues are.
The pale bands behind the lines are the rating zones (Toss-up, Lean, Likely and Safe), so you can see when the race moved from one rating to another. Move along the chart, or use the arrow keys, to read the values for each day.
More in Methodology| Outcome | TruthIndex™ | Polymarket | Kalshi | Spread | 24h | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| REric Barlow | 97.6% | 97.8% | 97.4% | 0.4 pts | – | |
| DKenneth Casner | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.0 pts | – |
Image cards with the current TruthIndex™, for posts and stories.
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Eric Barlow, a Republican former speaker of the Wyoming House and state senator since 2023, is his party's 2026 nominee for governor of Wyoming.
Kenneth Casner, who ran for governor of Wyoming in 2002 and 2018, won the 2026 Democratic nomination for governor unopposed and faces Republican Eric Barlow.
Each venue's margin market, shown on its own: the two venues set their ranges differently.
Wyoming Governor margin of victory
| Barlow, 19+ pts | 95.5% implied | |
| Barlow, 22+ pts | 97.0% | |
| Barlow, 25+ pts | 96.8% | |
| Barlow, 28+ pts | 96.2% | |
| Barlow, 31+ pts | 91.5% | |
| Barlow, 34+ pts | 85.0% | |
| Barlow, 37+ pts | 73.5% | |
| Barlow, 40+ pts | 57.0% | |
| Barlow, 43+ pts | 36.5% | |
| Barlow, 46+ pts | 22.5% | |
| Barlow, 49+ pts | 11.8% | |
| Barlow, 52+ pts | 7.7% | |
| Barlow, 55+ pts | 3.5% | |
| Barlow, 58+ pts | 2.9% |
Wyoming Governor Election Margin of Victory
| Democrat Wins | 0.3% implied | |
| Republican 0-10% | 2.3% | |
| Republican 10-15% | 2.9% | |
| Republican 15-20% | 3.4% | |
| Republican 20-25% | 2.9% | |
| Republican 25-30% | 13.5% | |
| Republican 30-35% | 20.5% | |
| Republican 35-40% | 21.5% | |
| Republican 40-45% | 27.2% | |
| Republican 45-50% | 7.1% | |
| Republican 50%+ | 11.8% |
Prices which party wins.
Eric Barlow: Counted · bid 97.5% / ask 98.2% · $4.0K within 5 pts
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wyoming gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the "Democrat" or "Republican" options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven't called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Full rules on PolymarketPrices which party wins.
Eric Barlow: Counted · bid 97.4% / ask 97.5% · $6.3K within 5 pts
Contract shown: Eric Barlow
If a representative of the Republican party is inaugurated as the governor of Wyoming pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
