Updated Oct 16, 2026, 1:45 PM ET
Governor · 3 November 2026

Maine Governor 2026

94.2% DHannah Pingree leads TruthIndex™Safe D
Polymarket
94.8%
Kalshi
94.0%
Spread
1.2 pts
24h
–
7 days
−1.1
Updated
Oct 16, 2026, 1:45 PM ET
Latest coverage

Live News

Recent coverage for Maine Governor.

  1. Groups supporting RFK Jr. are spending nearly $2M in Iowa governor, House races

    The new spending is the most significant outlay from Kennedy-aligned groups since they helped Rep. Julia Letlow defeat Sen. Bill Cassidy in a Louisiana Republican primary in May.

  2. Mamdani releases video touting Hochul, blasting Blakeman

    The video, released more than a week before early voting begins in New York, is the first tangible support the democratic socialist mayor has shown for Hochul’s reelection bid since his February endorsement.

    PoliticoPingreeBlakeman
  3. Carrie Brownstein endorses Tina Kotek in the Oregon governor's race

    Carrie Brownstein of Sleater-Kinney performs at Revolution Hall.Allison Barr/The Oregonian

    OregonianKotekPingree
  4. Collins insists socialist rival won't beat her as Maine's money machine: 'You'll lose big time'

    The senator was interviewed in Bangor after landing the endorsement of the Maine chapter of the Fraternal Order of Police.

    Fox NewsPingreeCollins
  5. Key takeaways from Maine's fourth and final gubernatorial debate

    The three candidates running to be the next governor of Maine: Democrat Hannah Pingree, Republican Bobby Charles, and independent Rick Bennett: met for the fourth and final time on the debate stage Thursday evening.

    Maine Morning StarCharles
More coverage 12
  1. Why Hannah Pingree is the leader Maine needs

    The article is an endorsement piece by a Maine Democratic Party leader praising Hannah Pingree as the suitable governor for Maine.

    Bangor Daily NewsCharles
  2. Hannah Pingree Outlines Priorities in Gubernatorial Campaign

    The article covers Hannah Pingree’s gubernatorial campaign priorities in Maine, emphasizing her belief that Mainers value community and neighborly care.

    maineeexpres.comCharles
  3. Pingree Leads Fundraising With $4.2 Million After Final Debate

    Robert (Bobby) Charles is the Republican candidate for Maine governor in the referenced race.

    mainebusinesswire.comCharles
  4. Republican Bobby Charles casts early vote in Maine gubernatorial race

    Republican Bobby Charles (Robert Charles) cast his ballot early in Leeds, Maine, encouraging others to vote early and expressing confidence in his chances less than three weeks before Election Day.

    wgme.comCharles
  5. Fact checking Maine gubernatorial debate

    Immigration at polls: Pingree claimed Charles invited ICE to polling sites. Charles denied inviting ICE and said the audio recording cited by supporters was a misrepresentation.

    WMTWCharles
  6. After final debate, here’s where things stand in the race to become Maine’s next governor

    The race to replace Governor Janet Mills in Maine is seen as largely favoring Democrat Hannah Pingree, who leads polls by double digits and performed steadily across four debates.

    Lewiston Sun JournalPingree
  7. Rick Bennett, Bobby Charles and Hannah Pingree face off in Maine gubernatorial debate

    The article reports on a Maine gubernatorial debate featuring candidates Rick Bennett, Bobby Charles, and Hannah Pingree.

    WABIPingree
  8. Former Maine House Speaker Hannah Pingree seeks governor's office

    Hannah Pingree, former Speaker of the Maine House and former director of Policy Innovation in Gov. Janet Mills’ administration, is running for Maine governor.

    WMTWPingree
  9. Maine governor candidate profile: Bobby Charles

    ContestsKindness DaySurprise SquadAsk MEBuilding A Stronger Community

    WABICharles
  10. Maine governor candidate profile: Hannah Pingree

    Hannah Pingree is profiled as a candidate for Maine governor. The piece outlines her background and qualifications, highlighting her public service experience and ties to Maine politics.

    WABIPingree
  11. Maine governor debate between Bennett, Charles, Pingree on WMTW

    With less than three weeks to go until Election Day, the three chief candidates for Maine governor will face off in an hourlong debate hosted by Maine's Total Coverage on Thursday.

    WMTWCharlesPingree
  12. How candidates for Maine governor want to turn around education

    " property="og:image:url"> How candidates for Maine governor want to turn around education | PenBay Pilot

    penbaypilot.comCharles

Hannah Pingree, last 60 days

How to read this chart

The green line is the TruthIndex™, the chance of this outcome. It combines the prices on both venues and gives more weight to the venue with more money in its order book. The two thinner lines are Polymarket's and Kalshi's own prices, and the grey band between them shows how far apart the two venues are.

The pale bands behind the lines are the rating zones (Toss-up, Lean, Likely and Safe), so you can see when the race moved from one rating to another. Move along the chart, or use the arrow keys, to read the values for each day.

More in Methodology
TruthIndex™PolymarketKalshiGap between the venuesRating zones

All outcomes

OutcomeTruthIndex™PolymarketKalshiSpread24h
Which party wins · Polymarket and Kalshi
DHannah Pingree 94.2% 94.8% 94.0% 0.8 pts –
RRobert Charles 5.8% 5.0% 6.3% 1.2 pts –
Which candidate wins · Kalshi
Rick Bennett 1.0%
implied
– – – –

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Candidates & Background

Hannah Pingree

Hannah Pingree

Democratic

Former speaker of the Maine House of Representatives (2008 to 2010) and the Democratic nominee for governor of Maine in the November 2026 election.

Born 1976 · Belfast, Maine
Robert Charles

Robert Charles

Republican

Robert "Bobby" Charles, a lawyer who was U.S. Assistant Secretary of State for International Narcotics and Law Enforcement Affairs from 2003 to 2005, is Maine's 2026 Republican nominee for governor.

Born 1960

Margin of victory

Each venue's margin market, shown on its own: the two venues set their ranges differently.

Kalshi2.4K contracts

Maine Governor margin of victory

Yes
5.5%
implied
Source: Kalshi market

Kalshi2.9K contracts

Maine Governor margin of victory

Pingree, 3+ pts
92.9%
Pingree, 6+ pts
87.5%
Pingree, 9+ pts
79.0%
Pingree, 12+ pts
66.5%
Pingree, 15+ pts
51.5%
Pingree, 18+ pts
36.5%
Pingree, 21+ pts
22.0%
Pingree, 24+ pts
16.5%
Pingree, 27+ pts
8.6%
Source: Kalshi market

Polymarket$4.8K traded

Maine Governor Election Margin of Victory

Independent Wins
3.7%
Republican 5%+
3.9%
Republican 0-5%
6.0%
Democrat 0-5%
8.0%
Democrat 5-10%
19.0%
Democrat 10-15%
29.5%
Democrat 15-20%
28.0%
Democrat 20-25%
8.7%
Democrat 25%+
5.1%
Source: Polymarket market

Each venue's market

Polymarket$44.3K traded

Prices which party wins.

Hannah Pingree: Counted · bid 94.3% / ask 95.3% · $2.0K within 5 pts

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Full rules on Polymarket

Kalshi94.8K contracts traded

Prices which party wins.

Hannah Pingree: Counted · bid 93.3% / ask 94.6% · $6.2K within 5 pts

Contract shown: Hannah Pingree

If a representative of the Democratic party is inaugurated as the governor of Maine pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.

This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Full rules on Kalshi