Updated Oct 16, 2026, 1:45 PM ET
Governor · 3 November 2026

Nebraska Governor 2026

90.1% RJim Pillen leads TruthIndex™Safe R
Polymarket
90.5%
Kalshi
89.5%
Spread
1.0 pts
24h
–
7 days
+0.1
Updated
Oct 16, 2026, 1:45 PM ET
Latest coverage

Live News

Recent coverage for Nebraska Governor.

  1. Lynne Walz on property taxes, the budget and medical marijuana

    Lynne Walz is not Nebraska’s governor. The headline refers to an interview or segment on KETV about Lynne Walz discussing property taxes, the state budget, and medical marijuana in Nebraska.

    ketv.comWalz
  2. Northeast Nebraska judge retiring this month after serving 20 years

    MADISON COUNTY, Neb. (KTIV) - One of the County Court Judges for the Seventh Judicial District, Ross A. Stoffer is set to retire at the end of this month.

    KTIVPillen
  3. EXIM Reiterates Target to Finance Approximately 65% of Elk Creek Project Upfront CAPEX

    Nebraska Governor Jim Pillen praised the persistence behind the Elk Creek Project and its role in strengthening domestic critical mineral supply chains.

    TradingViewPillen
  4. Bill and Hillary Clinton make eleventh-hour midterm moves as party's old guard faces new reality

    The Clintons are back on the midterm campaign circuit: with Bill Clinton heading to Florida to stump for Democratic gubernatorial nominee David Jolly and Hillary Clinton taking to the podcast microphone as the party…

    Fox NewsJollyWalz
  5. Federal Government Approves Nebraska’s Plan to Restrict Inappropriate Purchases through Taxpayer Funds

    Nebraska is the second state in the nation to take this step, establishing a model for other states seeking to strengthen safeguards on public assistance funds.

    northplattepost.comPillen
More coverage 9
  1. Walz reaching across party lines for support

    Lynne Walz, a Democrat and former Nebraska state senator, is running for governor and is emphasizing cross-party appeal to govern Nebraskans rather than Washington politics.

    Norfolk Daily NewsWalz
  2. Local4’s Four Things You Need to Know for October 15, 2026

    Democratic candidate for governor Lynne Walz was in the tri-cities campaigning earlier this week, and now Republican incumbent Gov. Jim Pillen will be in central western Nebraska on official business. Gov.

    KSNB Channel 4Pillen
  3. Candidates grow more aggressive in second debate in Nebraska's CD2 - Omaha World-Herald

    Ricketts defends pardon of man convicted of sexually assaulting estranged wife

    Omaha World HeraldWalz
  4. Gov. Jim Pillen says he's focused on kids, taxes, agriculture

    Nebraska Gov. Jim Pillen is hoping the voters reelect him to another four-year term.

    ketv.comPillen
  5. Lynne Walz, Ben Steffen discuss Nebraska budget during Kearney campaign stop

    Lynne Walz and Ben Steffen, the Democratic gubernatorial ticket, spoke to voters in Kearney about Nebraska’s budget shortfall, rising costs, and strategies for economic development.

    metro.newschannelnebraska.comWalzAlso in central.newschannelnebraska.com
  6. LIVE THURSDAY: Gov. Pillen in North Platte to sign executive order pertaining to public safety

    NORTH PLATTE, Neb. (KNOP) - Governor Jim Pillen will travel to central Nebraska on Thursday for a series of stops in the communities of North Platte, Imperial, McCook and Holdrege.

    KOLN\KGINPillen
  7. Pillen highlights initiative to bring veterans and their families to Nebraska

    Gov. Jim Pillen highlighted a new statewide initiative aimed at attracting and retaining military service members who have been recently discharged.

    York News-TimesPillen
  8. Gov. Pillen, agency leaders highlight ‘Good Life is Calling Veterans’ initiative

    NEBRASKA: Governor Jim Pillen was joined by leaders and representatives from several state agencies and post-secondary institutions to highlight a new, multi-agency initiative to bring discharging U.S.

    Central Nebraska TodayPillen
  9. Governor announces 'The Good Life is Calling' veterans program | News

    Cloudy with periods of rain. High near 55F. Winds NNW at 15 to 25 mph. Chance of rain 70%. Rainfall near a quarter of an inch. Higher wind gusts possible..

    norfolkneradio.comPillen

Jim Pillen, last 60 days

How to read this chart

The green line is the TruthIndex™, the chance of this outcome. It combines the prices on both venues and gives more weight to the venue with more money in its order book. The two thinner lines are Polymarket's and Kalshi's own prices, and the grey band between them shows how far apart the two venues are.

The pale bands behind the lines are the rating zones (Toss-up, Lean, Likely and Safe), so you can see when the race moved from one rating to another. Move along the chart, or use the arrow keys, to read the values for each day.

More in Methodology
TruthIndex™PolymarketKalshiGap between the venuesRating zones

All outcomes

OutcomeTruthIndex™PolymarketKalshiSpread24h
RJim Pillen 90.1% 90.5% 89.5% 1.0 pts –
DLynne Walz 9.6% 9.5% 9.8% 0.3 pts –

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Candidates & Background

Jim Pillen

Jim Pillen

Republican Governor of Nebraska (since 2023)

Jim Pillen, a Republican veterinarian and livestock producer who has been governor of Nebraska since 2023, is running for a second term in 2026.

Born 1955 · Columbus, Nebraska
Lynne Walz

Lynne Walz

Democratic

Lynne Walz, a former teacher and realtor who held a Nebraska Legislature seat from 2017 to 2025, is the Democratic nominee for Nebraska governor in 2026.

Born 1963 · Fremont, Nebraska

Margin of victory

Each venue's margin market, shown on its own: the two venues set their ranges differently.

Kalshi641 contracts

Nebraska Governor margin of victory

Republicans, 1+ pts
86.8%
Republicans, 4+ pts
–
Republicans, 7+ pts
–
Republicans, 10+ pts
45.0%
Republicans, 13+ pts
29.5%
Republicans, 16+ pts
17.5%
Republicans, 19+ pts
8.5%
Republicans, 22+ pts
4.8%
Republicans, 25+ pts
3.7%
Source: Kalshi market

Polymarket$5.8K traded

Nebraska Governor Election Margin of Victory

Democrat Wins
7.3%
Republican 0-5%
21.1%
Republican 5-10%
32.0%
Republican 10-15%
27.5%
Republican 15-20%
–
Republican 20-25%
4.6%
Republican 25-30%
5.0%
Republican 30-35%
–
Republican 35%+
4.6%
Source: Polymarket market

Each venue's market

Polymarket$24.3K traded

Prices which party wins.

Jim Pillen: Counted · bid 90.0% / ask 91.0% · $7.6K within 5 pts

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nebraska gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Full rules on Polymarket

Kalshi67.2K contracts traded

Prices which party wins.

Jim Pillen: Counted · bid 89.0% / ask 90.0% · $5.8K within 5 pts

Contract shown: Jim Pillen

If a representative of the Republican party is inaugurated as the governor of Nebraska pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.

This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Full rules on Kalshi