US Midterms 2026
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Recent coverage for Nebraska Senate.
Now, Ricketts remains favored to win, enjoying about a 4 in 5 chance of success in Decision Desk HQ’s Senate forecast. While the polls are close, Ricketts’s chances are helped by Nebraska’s firmly red lean.
KETV NewsWatch 7 has the information you need to prepare for Election Day. Get the key dates, important issues and answers to the questions that matter before you vote.
RickettsA super PAC supporting independent Senate candidate Dan Osborn reported spending $3.4 million for advertising targeting Republican U.S. Sen. Pete Ricketts ahead of the the Nov. 3 election.
RickettsDan Osborn's independent bid is turning Nebraska into an unexpectedly competitive Senate battleground. Join The Hill's senior vice president of editorial
Nebraska independent Dan Osborn, who is running against Republican Senator Pete Ricketts, would "yes, absolutely" accept the outcome of the election, according to a campaign spokesperson.
Nebraska independent Dan Osborn, who is running against Republican Senator Pete Ricketts, would “yes, absolutely” accept the outcome of the election, according to a campaign spokesperson.
RickettsNebraska independent candidate Dan Osborn, in his second run for U.S. Senate, has made a habit this cycle of creating digital ads that are only slightly less over the top than the Oscar-winning film Everything…
RickettsThe article reports that Willie Nelson, at 93, publicly endorsed Democrat James Talarico in the Texas Senate race against Republican Ken Paxton.
BurbankCornhusker Majority, a Scottsbluff, Nebraska-based super PAC, has reported approximately $7.08 million in independent expenditures in Nebraska's U.S.
Republican North Carolina Senate nominee Michael Whatley had no future linear advertisement booked in the state as of Wednesday.
In Nebraska's Senate race, Republican Pete Ricketts is betting voters will see independent Dan Osborn as a Democrat, while Osborn argues he answers to neither party.
The group has also increased its investment in Ohio’s Senate race, bringing its total spending there to $45 million in support of Republican Sen. Jon Husted, who is up against Democratic former Sen. Sherrod Brown.
OsbornLONDON (AP): Iran is trying to hit military sites in Britain and the suspected plot to attack a U.S.-run military air base in September is “not unique," the head of the MI5 spy agency said Tuesday, as he warned that…
OsbornThe changing strategy extends beyond the House. Senate Republicans are putting more money into Nebraska to protect Republican Sen. Pete Ricketts against independent Dan Osborn, who has Democratic backing.
OsbornPete Ricketts is a Republican politician, former two-term Nebraska governor and current US senator.
RickettsNo story this week names this candidate.
The green line is the TruthIndex™, the chance of this outcome. It combines the prices on both venues and gives more weight to the venue with more money in its order book. The two thinner lines are Polymarket's and Kalshi's own prices, and the grey band between them shows how far apart the two venues are.
The pale bands behind the lines are the rating zones (Toss-up, Lean, Likely and Safe), so you can see when the race moved from one rating to another. Move along the chart, or use the arrow keys, to read the values for each day.
More in Methodology| Outcome | TruthIndex™ | Polymarket | Kalshi | Spread | 24h | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Which party wins · Polymarket and Kalshi | ||||||
| RPete Ricketts | 73.2% | 72.5% | 73.5% | 1.0 pts | – | |
| IIndependent | 27.5% Polymarket only |
27.5% | – | – | – | |
| DCindy Burbank | 0.1% implied |
– | – | – | – | |
| Which candidate wins · Kalshi | ||||||
| IDan Osborn | 26.0% Kalshi only |
– | 26.0% | – | – | |
Image cards with the current TruthIndex™, for posts and stories.
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Cindy Burbank, a retired pharmacy technician, won Nebraska's 2026 Democratic Senate primary and in July left the November race, endorsing independent Dan Osborn.
Dan Osborn, a Navy veteran and former union local president from Omaha, is running as an independent against Republican Senator Pete Ricketts in Nebraska's 2026 Senate election.
Republican U.S. senator from Nebraska since 2023 and governor of Nebraska from 2015 to 2023, seeking a full Senate term in 2026 against independent Dan Osborn.
Each venue's margin market, shown on its own: the two venues set their ranges differently.
Nebraska Senate margin of victory
| Ricketts, 1+ pts | 74.5% | |
| Ricketts, 3+ pts | 54.0% | |
| Ricketts, 6+ pts | 35.5% | |
| Ricketts, 9+ pts | 16.5% | |
| Ricketts, 12+ pts | 7.0% | |
| Ricketts, 15+ pts | 5.5% | |
| Ricketts, 18+ pts | 5.1% | |
| Ricketts, 21+ pts | 3.0% |
Nebraska Senate Election Margin of Victory
| Republican 21%+ | 1.1% | |
| Republican 18-21% | 3.9% | |
| Republican 15-18% | 1.6% | |
| Republican 12-15% | 0.7% | |
| Republican 9-12% | 10.2% | |
| Republican 6-9% | 17.5% | |
| Republican 3-6% | 22.0% | |
| Republican 0-3% | 23.5% | |
| Independent 0-3% | 12.5% | |
| Independent 3%+ | 13.5% |
Prices which party wins.
Pete Ricketts: Counted · bid 72.0% / ask 73.0% · $117.0K within 5 pts
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Nebraska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Full rules on PolymarketPrices which party wins.
Pete Ricketts: Counted · bid 73.0% / ask 74.0% · $291.5K within 5 pts
Contract shown: Pete Ricketts
If a representative of the Republican party is sworn in as a Senator of Nebraska for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
