US Midterms 2026
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Recent coverage for West Virginia Senate.
MORGANTOWN, W.Va. (WBOY): Senator Shelley Moore-Capito (R-WV) visited Mon Health Medical Center in Morgantown on Thursday to announce millions in funding for the center.
CapitoMORGANTOWN, W.Va.: U.S. Sen. Shelley Moore Capito, R-W.Va., visited Morgantown on Thursday to highlight nearly $5.5 million in federal funding for Mon Health Medical Center and attend the investiture of West Virginia…
CapitoElections are taking place for the U.S. Senate and the U.S. House of Representatives, 17 seats in the state Senate, and all 100 seats in the state House.
The Republicans are hopeful of keeping their majority while the Democrats look to flip enough seats to put them on top.
There are 35 Senate seats up for grabs in the 2026 midterm elections.
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Sen. Shelley Moore Capito (R-WV), along with a bipartisan group of senators, is backing the Securing America’s Titanium Manufacturing Act to remove the 15% tariff on titanium sponge imports from countries with…
CapitoSen. Shelley Moore Capito announced $2.45 million in congressional directed spending to support a $15 million expansion and renovation of the emergency department at WVU Medicine Weirton Medical Center in Weirton, West…
CapitoSen. Shelley Moore Capito (R-W.Va.) announced that WVU Medicine Weirton Medical Center will receive $2.45 million in FY 2026 Congressionally Directed Spending to fund renovations and expansion of its emergency…
CapitoSen. Shelley Moore Capito (R-W.Va.) announced a $2.45 million Congressionally Directed Spending (CDS) award for WVU Medicine-Weirton Medical Center.
No story this week names this candidate.
The green line is the TruthIndex™, the chance of this outcome. It combines the prices on both venues and gives more weight to the venue with more money in its order book. The two thinner lines are Polymarket's and Kalshi's own prices, and the grey band between them shows how far apart the two venues are.
The pale bands behind the lines are the rating zones (Toss-up, Lean, Likely and Safe), so you can see when the race moved from one rating to another. Move along the chart, or use the arrow keys, to read the values for each day.
More in Methodology| Outcome | TruthIndex™ | Polymarket | Kalshi | Spread | 24h | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RShelley Moore Capito | 98.0% | 98.1% | 98.0% | 0.1 pts | – | |
| DRachel Fetty Anderson | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 0.7 pts | – |
Image cards with the current TruthIndex™, for posts and stories.
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Rachel Fetty Anderson is a former Morgantown city council member and the 2026 Democratic nominee challenging Republican senator Shelley Moore Capito in West Virginia.
Shelley Moore Capito, a Republican, has represented West Virginia in the U.S. Senate since 2015 and is seeking a third term in the November 3, 2026 election.
Each venue's margin market, shown on its own: the two venues set their ranges differently.
West Virginia Senate margin of victory
| Capito, 26+ pts | 92.0% | |
| Capito, 28+ pts | 86.5% | |
| Capito, 30+ pts | 79.5% | |
| Capito, 32+ pts | 69.5% | |
| Capito, 34+ pts | – | |
| Capito, 36+ pts | 45.0% | |
| Capito, 38+ pts | 32.0% | |
| Capito, 40+ pts | 24.0% | |
| Capito, 42+ pts | 15.0% | |
| Capito, 44+ pts | 8.5% | |
| Capito, 46+ pts | 7.5% |
West Virginia Senate Election Margin of Victory
| Democrat Wins | 1.9% | |
| Republican 0-10% | 1.6% | |
| Republican 10-15% | 3.6% | |
| Republican 15-20% | 5.7% | |
| Republican 20-25% | 5.4% | |
| Republican 25-30% | 17.0% | |
| Republican 30-35% | 28.0% | |
| Republican 35-40% | 26.5% | |
| Republican 40-45% | – | |
| Republican 45-50% | 3.4% | |
| Republican 50%+ | 4.8% |
Prices which party wins.
Shelley Moore Capito: Counted · bid 97.4% / ask 98.8% · $4.7K within 5 pts
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm West Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Full rules on PolymarketPrices which party wins.
Shelley Moore Capito: Counted · bid 97.6% / ask 98.3% · $16.8K within 5 pts
Contract shown: Shelley Moore Capito
If a representative of the Republican party is sworn in as a Senator of West Virginia for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
