US Midterms 2026
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Recent coverage for New Mexico Governor.
Haaland, a former congresswoman and U.S. interior secretary, has been described as a longtime friend and policy partner of Warren’s.
HaalandCunningham
VasquezThe article reports that nearly 5,000 Sandoval County ballots were cast as early voting expanded on Saturday. In federal races listed, U.S.
For more information on this story, visit the Albuquerque Journal website.
HaalandKOAT Action 7 News and the Partners for Impact at the Albuquerque Journal and News Radio KKOB have teamed up to host a conversation with the Republican and Democratic candidates in the race for governor.
Gregg Hull is highlighted as a Republican candidate who is clear on malpractice issues, describing this year’s bills as a good beginning.
HullThe article discusses New Mexico Governor Michelle Lujan Grisham’s condemnation of the EPA plan to roll back methane rules.
HullNew Mexico voters in November will decide who will lead the state’s executive branch now that Democratic Governor Michelle Lujan Grisham is term limited out.
HullNew campaign-finance reports reveal a sharp financial divide in New Mexico’s race for governor, with Democrat Deb Haaland raising nearly three times as much as Republican Gregg Hull during the latest reporting period…
New Mexico voters in November will decide who will lead the state’s executive branch now that Democratic Governor Michelle Lujan Grisham is term limited out.
HaalandNew Mexico Democratic gubernatorial candidate Deb Haaland continued her fundraising dominance over Republican opponent Gregg Hull with fewer than three weeks until the Nov. 3 general election, new campaign reports show.
Gregg Hull said he would focus on child welfare if elected governor of New Mexico. Hull, the former Mayor of Rio Rancho, faces Democrat and former U.S.
HullHe said that the media didn’t direct enough attention to his Democratic opponent, Deb Haaland’s acceptance of campaign donations from parties involved with Project Jupiter, the artificial intelligence data center in…
HaalandNo story this week names this candidate.
The green line is the TruthIndex™, the chance of this outcome. It combines the prices on both venues and gives more weight to the venue with more money in its order book. The two thinner lines are Polymarket's and Kalshi's own prices, and the grey band between them shows how far apart the two venues are.
The pale bands behind the lines are the rating zones (Toss-up, Lean, Likely and Safe), so you can see when the race moved from one rating to another. Move along the chart, or use the arrow keys, to read the values for each day.
More in Methodology| Outcome | TruthIndex™ | Polymarket | Kalshi | Spread | 24h | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DDeb Haaland | 94.1% | 94.5% | 94.1% | 0.4 pts | – | |
| RGregg Hull | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 0.4 pts | – |
Image cards with the current TruthIndex™, for posts and stories.
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Former U.S. secretary of the interior (2021 to 2025) and congresswoman, nominated by the Democratic Party for governor of New Mexico in 2026 against Republican Gregg Hull.
Gregg Hull, a Republican businessman who led Rio Rancho, New Mexico, as mayor between 2014 and April 2026, is his party's 2026 nominee for governor of New Mexico.
Each venue's margin market, shown on its own: the two venues set their ranges differently.
New Mexico Governor margin of victory
| Haaland, 1+ pts | 87.8% | |
| Haaland, 4+ pts | 77.5% | |
| Haaland, 7+ pts | 64.0% | |
| Haaland, 10+ pts | 46.5% | |
| Haaland, 13+ pts | 31.5% | |
| Haaland, 16+ pts | 18.5% | |
| Haaland, 19+ pts | 9.2% | |
| Haaland, 22+ pts | 4.4% | |
| Haaland, 25+ pts | 5.7% implied |
New Mexico Governor Election Margin of Victory
| Republican 5%+ | 0.3% | |
| Republican 0-5% | 4.8% | |
| Democrat 0-5% | 4.2% | |
| Democrat 5-10% | 25.5% | |
| Democrat 10-15% | 32.0% | |
| Democrat 15-20% | 17.5% | |
| Democrat 20-25% | 13.5% | |
| Democrat 25%+ | 4.8% |
Prices which party wins.
Deb Haaland: Counted · bid 93.0% / ask 96.0% · $1.0K within 5 pts
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Full rules on PolymarketPrices which party wins.
Deb Haaland: Counted · bid 94.0% / ask 94.2% · $9.4K within 5 pts
Contract shown: Deb Haaland
If a representative of the Democratic party is inaugurated as the governor of New Mexico pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
