Top story
Candidates for Congressional District 2 talk political parties, affordability
“My north star is what are the needs and the opportunities for New Hampshire,” she said.
Concord Monitor
Goodlander
Williams
GoodlanderWilliamsUpdated Oct 16, 2026, 1:45 PM ET
House · 3 November 2026
NH-02 House 2026
- Polymarket
- 96.4%
- Kalshi
- 96.1%
- Spread
- 0.6 pts
- 24h
- –
- 7 days
- +1.4
- Updated
- Oct 16, 2026, 1:45 PM ET
Latest coverage
Live News
Recent coverage for NH-02 House.
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‘I put my principles over party’: 2nd Congressional District Republican nominee Lily Tang Williams speaks on campaign platform
Republican nominee for New Hampshire’s 2nd Congressional district Lily Tang Williams spoke about her campaign platform on Oct. 14.
thedartmouth.comWilliams -
Single Payer, Mixed Signals: Shaheen Says Yes, Goodlander Won’t Commit
The first debate between Democratic Rep. Maggie Goodlander and Republican Lily Tang Williams was a mostly tame affair, but a notable moment came when Goodlander was asked about single-payer health care, often known as…
NH JournalGoodlander -
WATCH: Williams and Goodlander face off in 2nd Congressional District forum
This year's race for the 2nd Congressional District is a rematch. Republican Lily Tang Williams (left) and Democrat Maggie Goodlander (right) also ran against each other two years ago.
New Hampshire Pubic RadioGoodlanderWilliams -
New Hampshire seeks Supreme Court stay over student IDs for ...
Lily Tang Williams, the Republican nominee for New Hampshire’s 2nd Congressional District, addresses residents Friday morning in the dining room of the New Hampshire Veterans Home.
Manchester Union leaderWilliams
Warmington -
Manchester Temple To Feature Candidate Forum, Public Invited
Congressional Candidates for House District 2: Maggie Goodlander(D) and Lily Tang Williams(R).
PatchGoodlanderWilliams
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Maggie Goodlander, last 60 days
How to read this chart
The green line is the TruthIndex™, the chance of this outcome. It combines the prices on both venues and gives more weight to the venue with more money in its order book. The two thinner lines are Polymarket's and Kalshi's own prices, and the grey band between them shows how far apart the two venues are.
The pale bands behind the lines are the rating zones (Toss-up, Lean, Likely and Safe), so you can see when the race moved from one rating to another. Move along the chart, or use the arrow keys, to read the values for each day.
More in MethodologyAll outcomes
| Outcome | TruthIndex™ | Polymarket | Kalshi | Spread | 24h | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DMaggie Goodlander | 96.3% | 96.4% | 96.1% | 0.3 pts | – | |
| RLily Tang Williams | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 0.6 pts | – |
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Candidates & Background
Lily Tang Williams
Republican
Lily Tang Williams, a Republican businesswoman and former chair of the Colorado Libertarian Party, is her party's nominee for New Hampshire's 2nd congressional district in 2026, in a rematch against Democratic incumbent Maggie Goodlander.
Maggie Goodlander
Democratic U.S. Representative for New Hampshire's 2nd congressional district (since 2025)
Maggie Goodlander, a Democrat who has represented New Hampshire's 2nd congressional district since 2025, seeks re-election in 2026 in a rematch against Republican Lily Tang Williams, a former chair of the Colorado Libertarian Party.
Margin of victory
Each venue's margin market, shown on its own: the two venues set their ranges differently.
Kalshi21.7K contracts
New Hampshire's 2nd District margin of victory
| Goodlander, 1+ pts | 92.1% | |
| Goodlander, 4+ pts | 86.0% | |
| Goodlander, 7+ pts | 79.0% | |
| Goodlander, 10+ pts | 71.5% | |
| Goodlander, 13+ pts | 64.5% | |
| Goodlander, 16+ pts | 45.5% | |
| Goodlander, 19+ pts | 37.5% | |
| Goodlander, 22+ pts | 24.5% | |
| Goodlander, 25+ pts | 11.3% |
Polymarket$13.6K traded
NH-02 House Election Margin of Victory
| Republican Wins | 0.6% | |
| Democrat 0-5% | 4.3% | |
| Democrat 5-10% | 13.0% | |
| Democrat 10-15% | 21.5% | |
| Democrat 15-20% | 26.5% | |
| Democrat 20-25% | 20.0% | |
| Democrat 25-30% | 13.7% | |
| Democrat 30%+ | 5.4% |
Each venue's market
Polymarket$41.7K traded
Prices which party wins.
Maggie Goodlander: Counted · bid 96.2% / ask 96.5% · $31.0K within 5 pts
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Full rules on PolymarketKalshi9.4K contracts traded
Prices which party wins.
Maggie Goodlander: Counted · bid 94.4% / ask 97.8% · $5.3K within 5 pts
Contract shown: Maggie Goodlander
If the House member sworn in for NH-02 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.