US Midterms 2026
Type two letters or more. Arrow keys move through the results, Enter opens one, Esc closes.
Recent coverage for New Hampshire Senate.
MANCHESTER, N.H.: In case you missed it, WGME reported on Congressman Chris Pappas’s growing lead in the New Hampshire Senate race, highlighting Granite Staters across the political spectrum who are backing his…
Chris Pappas officially filed Monday for New Hampshire's open U.S. Senate seat, pitching himself as a bipartisan candidate focused on affordability, housing
The Republican later served on the boards of tax-dodging corporations.
SununuFormer Republican congressional candidate Don Bolduc on Friday backed Democratic Rep. Chris Pappas in New Hampshire’s open Senate race.
PappasRepublican U.S. Senate candidate from New Hampshire, John E. Sununu voted for the USA Patriot Act, then later made millions off of telecom companies who
SununuChris Pappas has been ranked as one of the most bipartisan members of Congress and is a member of the bipartisan House Problem Solvers Caucus.
“Chris Pappas voted to raise taxes 68 times. Every tax vote he’s made was to raise taxes.”
SununuChris Pappas has served as a U.S. Representative since 2018 and previously served on New Hampshire's Executive Council.
PappasDemocratic Rep. Chris Pappas and Republican John E. Sununu at forum Wednesday in Salem.
Chris Pappas’ 2011 appearance on “Who Wants to Be a Millionaire?” is returning to your TV screen.
SununuPAPPAS: “This is a critical midterm election where we have to reestablish checks and balances in Washington D.C.
As Democrat Chris Pappas runs for U.S. Senate, his four terms representing New Hampshire’s 1st District in Congress are his main credential.
Pappas“So we’re going to elect a strong Republican majority in the House and Senate, and I think we have a really good chance," Trump said Wednesday in Arizona.
PappasDemocrat Chris Pappas of Manchester and Republican John E. Sununu of Rye appeared separately on stage 20 minutes apart, but each still managed to slip in a dig during a U.S.
PappasNew Hampshire Representative Chris Pappas, who is facing a close contest against former Senator John Sununu in the race to succeed Democratic Senator Jeanne Shaheen, told Manchester-based news station WMUR he believes…
SununuNo story this week names this candidate.
The green line is the TruthIndex™, the chance of this outcome. It combines the prices on both venues and gives more weight to the venue with more money in its order book. The two thinner lines are Polymarket's and Kalshi's own prices, and the grey band between them shows how far apart the two venues are.
The pale bands behind the lines are the rating zones (Toss-up, Lean, Likely and Safe), so you can see when the race moved from one rating to another. Move along the chart, or use the arrow keys, to read the values for each day.
More in Methodology| Outcome | TruthIndex™ | Polymarket | Kalshi | Spread | 24h | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DChris Pappas | 89.2% | 88.5% | 89.5% | 1.0 pts | – | |
| RJohn E. Sununu | 11.4% | 12.5% | 10.5% | 2.0 pts | – |
Image cards with the current TruthIndex™, for posts and stories.
X opens with your text; you can edit it there before posting.
Chris Pappas, a Democrat representing New Hampshire's 1st congressional district since 2019, is his party's nominee for the state's open U.S. Senate seat in 2026.
John E. Sununu, a Republican who represented New Hampshire in the US House and then the Senate from 1997 to 2009, seeks his former Senate seat in 2026.
Each venue's margin market, shown on its own: the two venues set their ranges differently.
New Hampshire Senate margin of victory
| Pappas, 2+ pts | 84.5% | |
| Pappas, 4+ pts | 73.5% | |
| Pappas, 6+ pts | 62.5% | |
| Pappas, 8+ pts | 46.5% | |
| Pappas, 10+ pts | 33.5% | |
| Pappas, 12+ pts | 19.5% | |
| Pappas, 14+ pts | 13.0% | |
| Pappas, 16+ pts | 7.0% | |
| Pappas, 18+ pts | 4.0% |
New Hampshire Senate Election Margin of Victory
| Pappas 18%+ | 4.2% | |
| Pappas 15-18% | 5.3% | |
| Pappas 12-15% | 11.3% | |
| Pappas 9-12% | 20.0% | |
| Pappas 6-9% | 20.0% | |
| Pappas 3-6% | 16.5% | |
| Pappas 0-3% | 11.3% | |
| Sununu 0-3% | 7.5% | |
| Sununu 3-6% | 3.2% | |
| Sununu 6%+ | 4.5% |
Prices which party wins.
Chris Pappas: Counted · bid 88.0% / ask 89.0% · $62.6K within 5 pts
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Hampshire U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Full rules on PolymarketPrices which party wins.
Chris Pappas: Counted · bid 89.0% / ask 90.0% · $138.0K within 5 pts
Contract shown: Chris Pappas
If a representative of the Democratic party is sworn in as a Senator of New Hampshire for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
