Updated Oct 16, 2026, 2:28 PM ET
Mayor · 3 November 2026

Henderson Mayor 2026

82.5% Michelle Romero leads TruthIndex™ · Polymarket onlyOther leader
Polymarket
82.5%
Kalshi
–
Spread
–
24h
−0.5
7 days
0.0
Updated
Oct 16, 2026, 2:28 PM ET
Latest coverage

Live News

Recent coverage for Henderson Mayor.

  1. Henderson Mayor Michelle Romero delivered her fourth ...
    www.facebook.comSocial postRomero
  2. A powerful room becomes even more ...

    Today we celebrate the City of Henderson's Mayor Michelle Romero as she presses on in her final days of campaigning.

    InstagramSocial postRomero
  3. Mayor Romero delivers Henderson State of the City

    LAS VEGAS (FOX5): Henderson Mayor Michelle Romero delivered her fourth state of the city address Wednesday, addressing public safety, economic growth, education and infrastructure projects, including the Reimagine…

    KVVURomero
  4. Henderson mayor touts milestones in State of the City address | Henderson

    Henderson Mayor Michelle Romero watches a brief informational video, one of several that played ...

    Las Vegas Review JournalRomero
  5. Henderson Mayor Michelle Romero touts city gains, addresses affordability crisis in speech

    LAS VEGAS (KSNV): Henderson Mayor Michelle Romero used her 2026 State of the City address Wednesday morning to focus on the city’s affordability crisis while also highlighting accomplishments and outlining priorities…

    KSNVRomero

Michelle Romero, last 60 days

How to read this chart

The green line is the TruthIndex™, the chance of this outcome. Only one venue lists it, so the figure comes from that venue alone. The thinner line is that venue's own daily price.

The pale bands behind the lines are the rating zones (Toss-up, Lean, Likely and Safe), so you can see when the race moved from one rating to another. Move along the chart, or use the arrow keys, to read the values for each day.

More in Methodology
TruthIndex™PolymarketRating zones

All outcomes

OutcomeTruthIndex™Polymarket24h
Michelle Romero 82.5%
Polymarket only
82.5% −0.5
Hollie Chadwick 17.4%
Polymarket only
17.4% +0.4

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<p style="margin:4px 0 0;font:12px/1.4 Arial,sans-serif">Live odds: <a href="https://midterms.nijinn.io/mayor/henderson/?utm_source=embed&amp;utm_medium=embed-credit&amp;utm_campaign=midterms-2026&amp;utm_content=mayor-henderson">Nijinn US Midterms 2026</a></p>

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Candidates & Background

Hollie Chadwick, who was police chief of Henderson, Nevada, from 2023 to 2025, is a candidate in the city's 2026 nonpartisan mayoral election.

Michelle Romero

Michelle Romero

Mayor of Henderson, Nevada (since 2019)

Mayor of Henderson, Nevada, since 2019, running for reelection in the city's 2026 nonpartisan mayoral election.

Each venue's market

Polymarket$9.4K traded

Prices which candidate wins.

Michelle Romero: Counted · bid 82.0% / ask 83.0% · $1.2K within 5 pts

The 2026 Henderson mayoral election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the mayor of Henderson, NV. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Henderson as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of Nevada, Clark County, and the City of Henderson.

Full rules on Polymarket