US Midterms 2026
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Recent coverage for Los Angeles Mayor.
In Tuesday night's only televised debate before Election Day, once political allies, Los Angeles Mayor Karen Bass and City Councilmember Nithya Raman called
BassLos Angeles Mayor Karen Bass and City Councilmember Nithya Raman will make their cases to downtown Los Angeles residents Thursday night during separate, back-to-back mayoral candidate forums, two days after trading…
BassBassVoters have been good to Los Angeles Mayor Karen Bass. For the past two decades, she has won elections to the California Assembly, to Congress and to the mayoralty she now holds. She has never lost an election.
BassKerala-born Los Angeles City Council member Nithya Raman is challenging incumbent Mayor Karen Bass in the November 3 mayoral runoff, with the two candidates clashing over the city’s homelessness crisis, public safety…
RamanKerala-born Los Angeles City Council member Nithya Raman is challenging incumbent Mayor Karen Bass in the November 3 mayoral runoff, with the two candidates
RamanKerala-born Nithya Raman is leading incumbent Mayor Karen Bass in the Los Angeles mayoral race after a fiery televised debate on Tuesday night.
Park made the stunning admission while sounding the alarm about the city’s future and blasting mayoral challenger Nithya Raman over her positions on policing and prosecution.
Washington: Kerala-born Nithya Raman is emerging as a strong contender to become the first Indian-American mayor of Los Angeles, with the 45-year-old Democratic politician maintaining an edge over incumbent Mayor Karen…
RamanMayor Karen Bass and Los Angeles City Councilwoman Nithya Raman faced off on Oct. 13 in the last scheduled debate before the Nov. 3 election.
BassKerala-born Democratic leader Nithya Raman is leading in Los Angeles mayoral race.
RamanLos Angeles Mayor Karen Bass expressed regret for being away from her city during the massive January 2025 wildfires in Southern California, apologizing to voters for her absence while debating her mayoral race opponent…
BassBecause she was: a Black woman in a realm not meant for people like her. She was someone who co-founded a pioneering nonprofit in the crucible of a changing South L.A.
BassLos Angeles Mayor Karen Bass and City Councilwoman Nithya Raman squared off in a contentious final debate before the November election.
BassNo story this week names this candidate.
The green line is the TruthIndex™, the chance of this outcome. It combines the prices on both venues and gives more weight to the venue with more money in its order book. The two thinner lines are Polymarket's and Kalshi's own prices, and the grey band between them shows how far apart the two venues are.
The pale bands behind the lines are the rating zones (Toss-up, Lean, Likely and Safe), so you can see when the race moved from one rating to another. Move along the chart, or use the arrow keys, to read the values for each day.
More in Methodology| Outcome | TruthIndex™ | Polymarket | Kalshi | Spread | 24h | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nithya Raman | 53.6% | 54.4% | 53.5% | 0.9 pts | – | |
| Karen Bass | 46.5% | 46.0% | 46.5% | 0.5 pts | – |
Image cards with the current TruthIndex™, for posts and stories.
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Karen Bass, a Democrat who has been mayor of Los Angeles since 2022 after serving in Congress from 2011 to 2022, faces city councilmember Nithya Raman in the 2026 mayoral runoff.
Nithya Raman, an urban planner and Democrat who has represented Los Angeles's 4th council district since 2020, faces Mayor Karen Bass in the city's 2026 mayoral runoff.
Prices which candidate wins.
Nithya Raman: Counted · bid 54.4% / ask 54.5% · $30.0K within 5 pts
The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.
Full rules on PolymarketPrices which candidate wins.
Nithya Raman: Counted · bid 53.0% / ask 54.0% · $254.9K within 5 pts
Contract shown: Nithya Raman
If Nithya Raman wins the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Full rules on Kalshi
