Nevada 2026 elections
Nevada, the Silver State, chooses a governor on November 3, 2026, and also elects four US House members, decides two ballot measures and holds three mayoral races.
Caleb Moore, public domain, via Wikimedia Commons- Capital
- Carson City
- Largest city
- Las Vegas
- Population
- 3.28M (2025 estimate)
- Statehood
- 36th state (October 31, 1864)
Current officeholders
House
| Contest | Leader | Rating | TruthIndex™ | Polymarket | Kalshi | Spread | 24h | 7 days | Volume | Trend | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NV-02 House | RDavid Flippo | Lean R | 73.3% | 73.0% | 73.5% | 1.5 pts | −0.1 | +0.3 | 130.1K | ||
| NV-03 House | DSusie Lee | Safe D | 92.9% | 93.0% | 92.8% | 0.1 pts | +0.3 | −1.1 | 27.8K | ||
| NV-04 House | DSteven Horsford | Safe D | 94.2% | 94.2% | 94.2% | 0.5 pts | −0.8 | −2.6 | 32.9K | ||
| NV-01 House | DDina Titus | Safe D | 94.8% | 95.0% | 94.6% | 0.4 pts | −0.1 | −0.6 | 54.4K |
House seats Democrats win in Nevada
Each venue's market, shown on its own.
Kalshi33.7K contracts
How many House seats will Democrats win in Nevada?
| Below 2 | 1.0% implied | |
| 2 | 4.0% implied | |
| 3 | 72.0% | |
| 4 | 25.5% |
Polymarket$20.6K traded
How many House seats will the Democrats win in Nevada?
| 0 | 0.7% | |
| 1 | 1.8% | |
| 2 | 3.4% | |
| 3 | 70.5% | |
| 4 | 24.5% |
Political landscape in Nevada
Overview
Nevada is a landlocked Western state bordered by Idaho, Oregon, California, Arizona and Utah. It is seventh in area and 31st in population, and close to three-quarters of residents live in Clark County, home of the Las Vegas metropolitan area. Carson City is the capital and Las Vegas the largest city. Spanish explorers named the region for its snow-capped mountains, and the United States acquired it from Mexico in 1848. The 1859 Comstock Lode silver strike fueled growth, leading to Nevada Territory in 1861 and statehood on October 31, 1864; Nevada was the 36th state and was admitted during the Civil War. Legal gambling and permissive marriage and divorce laws made Nevada a major tourist destination during the 20th century. Tourism is the largest employer and mining remains significant, with Nevada ranking as the world's fourth-largest gold producer. Most of the state is desert or semi-arid, and it is the driest state in the country.
Officeholders
As of October 2026, Nevada's governor is Joe Lombardo, a Republican, while its US senators, Catherine Cortez Masto and Jacky Rosen, are both Democrats.
2026 elections
Nevada's November 3, 2026 ballot features the governor's race, elections in all four US House districts, two ballot measures on voter identification and abortion rights, and mayoral races in Henderson, North Las Vegas and Reno.
Ballot measures
| Contest | Leader | Rating | TruthIndex™ | Polymarket | Kalshi | Spread | 24h | 7 days | Volume | Trend | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nevada: Nevada vote to require photo ID and mail-voter verification Yes |
Yes | Likely Yes | 90.0% Kalshi only |
– | 90.0% | – | 0.0 | 0.0 | 10 | ||
| Nevada: Question 6 (abortion rights) Yes |
Yes | Safe Yes | 95.7% | 99.0% | 94.3% | 4.6 pts | +0.2 | −0.9 | 1.1K |
Mayoral races
| Contest | Leader | Rating | TruthIndex™ | Polymarket | Kalshi | Spread | 24h | 7 days | Volume | Trend | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Las Vegas Mayor | Daniele Monroe-Moreno | Likely | 80.5% Polymarket only |
80.5% | – | – | −0.5 | −0.5 | 7.1K | ||
| Henderson Mayor | Michelle Romero | Likely | 82.5% Polymarket only |
82.5% | – | – | −0.5 | 0.0 | 9.4K | ||
| Reno Mayor | Kate Marshall | Likely | 89.5% | 89.5% | 89.5% | 1.2 pts | −0.2 | −0.5 | 16.7K |