Mayor · 3 November 2026

Reno Mayor 2026

89.5% Kate Marshall leads TruthIndex™Other leader

Polymarket: 89.5%
Kalshi: 89.5%
Spread: 1.2 pts
24h: −0.2
7 days: −0.5
Updated: Oct 16, 2026, 2:28 PM ET

Latest coverage

Live News

Recent coverage for Reno Mayor.

8 stories this week

Top story

Race for Reno City Council Ward 4: Incumbent Meghan Ebert

The article covers incumbent Meghan Ebert running for Reno City Council Ward 4 to retain her seat.

KOLO 8 News Now18h agoTaylor

Marshall

Yesterday
KOLO Town Hall with Kate Marshall
KOLO 8 News NowYesterdayMarshall
Town Hall with Reno mayoral candidate Kate Marshall
The page covers a town hall event featuring Reno mayoral candidate Kate Marshall (not Kathleen Taylor).

KOLO 8 News NowYesterdayMarshall Taylor
Wednesday, Oct 14
Reno City FC stadium, entertainment district plans move forward to city council
The Reno City Planning Commission approved a conditional use permit for Reno City FC’s stadium and entertainment district project, by a 4-1 vote (Commissioner Sean McCoy opposed).

KRNVYesterdayTaylor Marshall
Reno Planning Commission Approves New Development Projects
The Reno Planning Commission approved several development projects, including The Boulevard, a arena/hotel complex anchored at Kietzke and Peckham Lanes with a 6,000-seat arena and a 380-room hotel.

wearereno.orgYesterdayTaylor
Morning Download: Nevada basketball's 'Under the Arch Madness' on tap tonight
The article covers a free, public event in Reno titled "Under the Arch Madness" hosted by Nevada basketball, taking place tonight beneath the Reno Arch from 5:30 to 9 p.m.

nevadasportsnet.comYesterdayTaylor

More coverage 2

Reno Planning Commission makes moves on multiple projects | Local News
The Reno Planning Commission is advancing several initiatives, including a new entertainment district led by Reno Pro Soccer. The article focuses on the Commission’s next steps and momentum on multiple projects in Reno.

2news.comYesterdayMarshall
ELECTION 2026: Reno mayoral candidates lay out their first 100 days in office
WASHOE COUNTY, Nev.: Reno mayoral candidates Kate Marshall and Kathleen Taylor are making their case to voters ahead of the November election.

KRXIYesterdayTaylor MarshallAlso in KRNV, KRNV

Kate Marshall, last 60 days

How to read this chart

The green line is the TruthIndex™, the chance of this outcome. It combines the prices on both venues and gives more weight to the venue with more money in its order book. The two thinner lines are Polymarket's and Kalshi's own prices, and the grey band between them shows how far apart the two venues are.

The pale bands behind the lines are the rating zones (Toss-up, Lean, Likely and Safe), so you can see when the race moved from one rating to another. Move along the chart, or use the arrow keys, to read the values for each day.

All outcomes

Outcome	TruthIndex™		Polymarket	Kalshi	Spread	24h
Kate Marshall	89.5%		89.5%	89.5%	0.0 pts	−0.2
Kathleen Taylor	7.9%		8.2%	7.0%	1.2 pts	0.0

Polymarket Kalshi

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The card updates on your page every 5 minutes and links back to this race. Paste the code into an HTML or embed block; it fits any width up to 680 pixels.

<iframe src="https://midterms.nijinn.io/mayor/reno/embed.html" title="Reno Mayor: live odds from Nijinn" style="width:100%;max-width:680px;height:400px;border:0" loading="lazy" scrolling="no"></iframe>
<p style="margin:4px 0 0;font:12px/1.4 Arial,sans-serif">Live odds: <a href="https://midterms.nijinn.io/mayor/reno/?utm_source=embed&amp;utm_medium=embed-credit&amp;utm_campaign=midterms-2026&amp;utm_content=mayor-reno">Nijinn US Midterms 2026</a></p>

Where frames are not allowed, the image card, linked to this race, updates with each refresh:

<a href="https://midterms.nijinn.io/mayor/reno/?utm_source=embed&amp;utm_medium=embed-image&amp;utm_campaign=midterms-2026&amp;utm_content=mayor-reno"><img src="https://midterms.nijinn.io/mayor/reno/card-landscape.png" alt="Reno Mayor: odds from Nijinn" width="600" height="315" style="max-width:100%;height:auto;border:0"></a>

Candidates & Background

Kate Marshall

Teaching professor of business law, University of Nevada, Reno (since 2024)

Kate Marshall, a Democrat who served as Nevada state treasurer and lieutenant governor, is a candidate in the 2026 election for mayor of Reno.

Born 1959 · San Francisco, California

Full candidate profile →

Kathleen Taylor

Vice Mayor of Reno (since 2024)

Kathleen Taylor, vice mayor of Reno representing the 1st ward since 2024, is a declared candidate in the 2026 election for mayor of Reno, Nevada.

Full candidate profile →

Each venue's market

Polymarket$16.3K traded

Prices which candidate wins.

Kate Marshall: Counted · bid 89.0% / ask 90.0% · $3.2K within 5 pts

The 2026 Reno mayoral election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the mayor of Reno, NV. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Reno as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of Nevada, Washoe County, and the City of Reno.

Full rules on Polymarket

Kalshi387 contracts traded