US Midterms 2026
Type two letters or more. Arrow keys move through the results, Enter opens one, Esc closes.
Recent coverage for NV-01 House.
Rep. Titus has served honorably, and her experience is unmatched. Ms. Buck, if elected, will have a steep learning curve. But we believe her market-oriented outlook would better serve Nevada and the country.
Summary focused on the user’s query: David Flippo NV-02 House
Dina Titus (NV-01) has introduced legislation aimed at protecting Americans from rising gasoline prices.
The page is a press releases index on Senator Mazie Hirono’s site, not a specific article about Jill Tokuda or HI-02 House.
The press release reports that Congresswoman Doris Matsui (CA-07) and Congresswoman Dina Titus (NV-01) introduced the Gas Money Saved Act to review and strengthen fuel efficiency standards (CAFE) and reinstate penalties…
TitusDina Titus (NV-01) is a Nevada Congresswoman who has reintroduced legislation to permanently end Yucca Mountain as the United States’ sole nuclear waste repository.
TitusNo story this week names this candidate.
The green line is the TruthIndex™, the chance of this outcome. It combines the prices on both venues and gives more weight to the venue with more money in its order book. The two thinner lines are Polymarket's and Kalshi's own prices, and the grey band between them shows how far apart the two venues are.
The pale bands behind the lines are the rating zones (Toss-up, Lean, Likely and Safe), so you can see when the race moved from one rating to another. Move along the chart, or use the arrow keys, to read the values for each day.
More in Methodology| Outcome | TruthIndex™ | Polymarket | Kalshi | Spread | 24h | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DDina Titus | 94.8% | 95.0% | 94.5% | 0.5 pts | – | |
| RCarrie Buck | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 0.3 pts | – |
Image cards with the current TruthIndex™, for posts and stories.
X opens with your text; you can edit it there before posting.
Carrie Buck, a Republican member of the Nevada Senate from the 5th district and a former school principal, is her party's 2026 nominee for Nevada's 1st congressional district against Democratic incumbent Dina Titus.
Dina Titus, a Democrat who has represented Nevada's 1st congressional district since 2013 and earlier taught political science at UNLV, faces Republican state senator Carrie Buck in her 2026 bid for reelection.
Each venue's margin market, shown on its own: the two venues set their ranges differently.
Nevada's 1st District margin of victory
| Titus, 1+ pts | – | |
| Titus, 4+ pts | 87.1% | |
| Titus, 7+ pts | 79.5% | |
| Titus, 10+ pts | 67.5% | |
| Titus, 13+ pts | 53.5% | |
| Titus, 16+ pts | 38.5% | |
| Titus, 19+ pts | 25.5% | |
| Titus, 22+ pts | 15.0% | |
| Titus, 25+ pts | 7.5% |
NV-01 House Election Margin of Victory
| Republican 5%+ | – | |
| Republican 0-5% | 3.3% | |
| Democrat 0-5% | 5.4% | |
| Democrat 5-10% | 18.5% | |
| Democrat 10-15% | 29.5% | |
| Democrat 15-20% | 22.5% | |
| Democrat 20-25% | 16.5% | |
| Democrat 25%+ | 0.9% |
Prices which party wins.
Dina Titus: Counted · bid 94.8% / ask 95.3% · $8.4K within 5 pts
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Full rules on PolymarketPrices which party wins.
Dina Titus: Counted · bid 94.0% / ask 95.1% · $7.3K within 5 pts
Contract shown: Dina Titus
If the House member sworn in for NV-01 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
