California 2026 elections
California, the most populous US state, holds a governor's race, 52 US House contests, 15 ballot measures and 2 mayoral races on November 3, 2026.
- Capital
- Sacramento
- Largest city
- Los Angeles
- Population
- 39.36M (2025 estimate)
- Statehood
- 31st state (September 9, 1850)
Current officeholders
House
| Contest | Leader | Rating | TruthIndex™ | Polymarket | Kalshi | Spread | 24h | 7 days | Volume | Trend | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CA-40 House | RKen Calvert | Safe R | 58.8% | 56.5% | 60.0% | 3.5 pts | −1.1 | −0.7 | 30.4K | ||
| CA-22 House | DRandy Villegas | Safe D | 90.8% | 92.0% | 90.7% | 1.3 pts | 0.0 | −0.3 | 172.5K | ||
| CA-48 House | DMarni von Wilpert | Safe D | 92.9% | 93.5% | 92.3% | 1.2 pts | +0.3 | +0.2 | 81.1K | ||
| CA-45 House | DDerek Tran | Safe D | 93.2% | 93.5% | 92.9% | 0.6 pts | −0.7 | +0.1 | 153.4K | ||
| CA-05 House | RTom McClintock | Safe R | 93.2% | 93.0% | 94.0% | 1.1 pts | +1.3 | +1.9 | 44.1K | ||
| CA-37 House | DSydney Kamlager-Dove | Safe D | 94.2% | 94.2% | 94.5% | 1.3 pts | −1.2 | 0.0 | 66.3K | ||
| CA-06 House | DRichard Pan | Safe D | 94.5% | 95.0% | 92.2% | 2.7 pts | −0.1 | +0.4 | 121.7K | ||
| CA-01 House | DMike McGuire | Safe D | 94.7% | 95.0% | 94.1% | 0.9 pts | +2.3 | −0.2 | 60.9K | ||
| CA-21 House | DJim Costa | Safe D | 94.8% | 95.6% | 94.7% | 1.3 pts | −0.3 | −0.4 | 66.8K | ||
| CA-04 House DDemocratic Party |
DDemocratic Party | Safe D | 95.1% Polymarket only |
95.1% | – | – | −0.5 | −0.6 | 59.0K | ||
| CA-13 House | DAdam Gray | Safe D | 95.7% | 96.0% | 94.8% | 1.2 pts | −0.2 | +0.4 | 78.0K | ||
| CA-27 House | DGeorge Whitesides | Safe D | 95.8% | 95.6% | 95.8% | 0.2 pts | −0.2 | +0.4 | 30.5K | ||
| CA-25 House | DRaul Ruiz | Safe D | 95.9% | 96.0% | 95.8% | 0.2 pts | +0.3 | −0.9 | 28.4K | ||
| CA-03 House | DAmi Bera | Safe D | 96.0% | 96.0% | 95.8% | 0.3 pts | +0.4 | +0.1 | 66.5K | ||
| CA-41 House | DLinda Sánchez | Safe D | 96.0% | 96.0% | 95.8% | 0.2 pts | +0.4 | −0.1 | 34.2K | ||
| CA-29 House DDemocratic Party |
DDemocratic Party | Safe D | 96.0% Polymarket only |
96.0% | – | – | −0.1 | +0.3 | 44.4K | ||
| CA-31 House | DGil Cisneros | Safe D | 96.1% | 95.8% | 97.8% | 2.1 pts | +0.2 | −0.1 | 19.1K | ||
| CA-33 House | DPete Aguilar | Safe D | 96.2% | 95.8% | 96.6% | 2.5 pts | +0.4 | +0.1 | 28.2K | ||
| CA-49 House | DMike Levin | Safe D | 96.4% | 97.1% | 96.0% | 1.1 pts | +1.0 | −0.2 | 44.4K | ||
| CA-47 House | DDave Min | Safe D | 96.4% | 97.0% | 96.0% | 1.0 pts | −0.1 | +0.7 | 36.0K | ||
| CA-50 House | DScott Peters | Safe D | 96.4% | 96.3% | 96.9% | 1.1 pts | −0.1 | +0.9 | 72.2K | ||
| CA-51 House | DSara Jacobs | Safe D | 96.5% | 95.6% | 98.0% | 2.4 pts | +0.1 | +0.5 | 35.3K | ||
| CA-26 House | DJacqui Irwin | Safe D | 96.6% | 96.0% | 98.4% | 2.4 pts | 0.0 | +1.1 | 37.3K | ||
| CA-08 House | DJohn Garamendi | Safe D | 96.8% | 96.1% | 97.1% | 1.2 pts | 0.0 | −0.4 | 59.8K | ||
| CA-46 House | DLou Correa | Safe D | 97.0% | 97.0% | 97.0% | 1.4 pts | 0.0 | +0.5 | 52.7K | ||
| CA-42 House | DRobert Garcia | Safe D | 97.1% | 97.0% | 97.8% | 1.0 pts | +0.8 | +0.5 | 44.1K | ||
| CA-09 House | DJosh Harder | Safe D | 97.2% | 97.5% | 97.0% | 1.0 pts | 0.0 | −0.4 | 30.5K | ||
| CA-52 House | DJuan Vargas | Safe D | 97.2% | 97.2% | 97.2% | 0.1 pts | +0.2 | +0.8 | 66.5K | ||
| CA-07 House DDemocratic Party |
DDemocratic Party | Safe D | 97.2% Polymarket only |
97.2% | – | – | 0.0 | +0.6 | 75.9K | ||
| CA-32 House | DBrad Sherman | Safe D | 97.3% | 97.1% | 97.5% | 0.9 pts | +0.5 | +1.0 | 31.4K | ||
| CA-39 House | DMark Takano | Safe D | 97.3% | 97.8% | 97.0% | 0.8 pts | −0.5 | +1.4 | 63.0K | ||
| CA-10 House | DMark DeSaulnier | Safe D | 97.4% | 97.0% | 98.0% | 1.9 pts | +0.6 | +0.3 | 28.4K | ||
| CA-15 House | DKevin Mullin | Safe D | 97.5% | 97.4% | 97.8% | 0.4 pts | +0.1 | +1.6 | 139.6K | ||
| CA-20 House | RVince Fong | Safe R | 97.5% | 98.1% | 97.0% | 1.1 pts | −0.2 | 0.0 | 54.9K | ||
| CA-23 House | RJay Obernolte | Safe R | 97.6% | 97.7% | 97.2% | 0.5 pts | +0.1 | +2.4 | 105.5K | ||
| CA-43 House | DMaxine Waters | Safe D | 97.6% | 97.3% | 98.4% | 1.1 pts | +1.4 | +1.1 | 34.9K | ||
| CA-30 House | DLaura Friedman | Safe D | 97.7% | 97.1% | 98.6% | 1.5 pts | +1.5 | +1.8 | 38.5K | ||
| CA-16 House | DSam Liccardo | Safe D | 97.7% | 97.4% | 98.0% | 0.7 pts | −0.1 | +0.6 | 117.8K | ||
| CA-36 House | DTed Lieu | Safe D | 97.7% | 97.5% | 98.8% | 1.3 pts | +0.6 | +1.0 | 91.0K | ||
| CA-12 House DDemocratic Party |
DDemocratic Party | Safe D | 97.8% Polymarket only |
97.8% | – | – | 0.0 | 0.0 | 52.2K | ||
| CA-24 House | DSalud Carbajal | Safe D | 97.8% | 97.8% | 97.8% | 0.5 pts | −0.3 | +0.4 | 65.8K | ||
| CA-28 House | DJudy Chu | Safe D | 97.9% | 97.6% | 98.3% | 0.6 pts | +0.2 | +1.4 | 145.2K | ||
| CA-38 House | DHilda Solis | Safe D | 97.9% | 97.9% | 98.0% | 0.5 pts | −0.1 | −0.3 | 68.4K | ||
| CA-17 House | DRo Khanna | Safe D | 97.9% | 97.6% | 98.5% | 0.9 pts | −0.5 | −0.6 | 17.8K | ||
| CA-34 House DDemocratic Party |
DDemocratic Party | Safe D | 98.0% Polymarket only |
98.0% | – | – | 0.0 | −0.1 | 119.6K | ||
| CA-44 House | DNanette Barragán | Safe D | 98.2% | 97.8% | 98.7% | 0.9 pts | +0.3 | +0.6 | 48.1K | ||
| CA-18 House | DZoe Lofgren | Safe D | 98.2% | 98.3% | 98.3% | 0.0 pts | −0.1 | −0.2 | 51.3K | ||
| CA-02 House | DJared Huffman | Safe D | 98.4% | 98.1% | 98.9% | 0.8 pts | −0.6 | −0.4 | 23.0K | ||
| CA-11 House DDemocratic Party |
DDemocratic Party | Safe D | 98.4% Polymarket only |
98.4% | – | – | 0.0 | 0.0 | 209.7K | ||
| CA-35 House | DNorma Torres | Safe D | 98.5% | 98.1% | 98.8% | 0.7 pts | −0.2 | −0.5 | 47.0K | ||
| CA-19 House | DJimmy Panetta | Safe D | 98.8% | 98.4% | 99.0% | 0.6 pts | −0.1 | +0.5 | 56.1K | ||
| CA-14 House DDemocratic Party |
DDemocratic Party | Safe D | 99.3% Polymarket only |
99.3% | – | – | −0.1 | −0.4 | 107.3K |
House seats Democrats win in California
Each venue's market, shown on its own.
Kalshi26.7K contracts
How many House seats will Democrats win in California?
| Below 44 | 0.3% | |
| 44 | 0.5% | |
| 45 | 0.8% | |
| 46 | 2.1% | |
| 47 | 13.0% | |
| 48 | 75.0% | |
| 49 | 3.0% | |
| 50 and above | 1.1% |
Polymarket$28.4K traded
How many House seats will the Democrats win in California?
| <43 | 0.3% | |
| 43 | 0.3% | |
| 44 | 3.4% | |
| 45 | 2.1% | |
| 46 | 4.7% | |
| 47 | 12.5% | |
| 48 | 75.5% | |
| 49+ | 7.7% |
Political landscape in California
Overview
California occupies the western edge of the United States. Oregon lies along its northern border, Nevada on the east, Arizona on the southeast and Mexico's Baja California on the south, with the Pacific Ocean forming its western coast. It has the largest population of any state, at more than 39 million, and ranks third in land area. Sacramento is the capital, and Los Angeles is the largest city and the second most populous in the nation; Greater Los Angeles and the San Francisco Bay Area rank second and fifth among the nation's combined statistical areas. Spanish colonization followed European exploration, the area joined Mexico in 1821, and the United States acquired it in 1848, the same year the gold rush began. California entered the Union in 1850 as the 31st state, admitted as a free state under the Compromise of 1850. Its economy leads all states in size and ranks first worldwide among sub-national economies, with an agricultural industry that tops the nation in output, the nation's busiest port at Los Angeles, the Hollywood film industry and the technology hub of Silicon Valley.
Officeholders
As of October 2026, the governor of California is Gavin Newsom (Democratic), and the state's US senators are Alex Padilla (Democratic) and Adam Schiff (Democratic).
2026 elections
On November 3, 2026, voters in California will decide the race for governor, contests in 52 US House districts and 15 ballot measures. Statewide propositions cover subjects including an affordable housing bond, a permanent tax on high earners, public campaign financing, recall election reform and voter identification, and voters in Los Angeles and Oakland will also elect mayors.
Ballot measures
Mayoral races
| Contest | Leader | Rating | TruthIndex™ | Polymarket | Kalshi | Spread | 24h | 7 days | Volume | Trend | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Mayor Runoff on Nov 3 |
Nithya Raman | Toss-up | 53.6% | 54.4% | 53.5% | 0.9 pts | −0.4 | −2.3 | 44.4M | ||
| Oakland Mayor | Barbara Lee | Safe | 92.0% | 92.0% | 92.0% | 0.5 pts | −0.4 | 0.0 | 5.2K |