US Midterms 2026
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Recent coverage for Mississippi Senate.
The list of national Democrats coming alongside the party’s U.S. Senate nominee in Mississippi in the lead up to the November 3 General Election continues to grow.
ColomDemocratic U.S. Senate candidate Scott Colom, who is angling to unseat incumbent Sen. Cindy Hyde-Smith come Nov. 3, released an ad on Oct. 13 that went viral nearly immediately.
ColomScott Colom’s campaign for U.S. Senate in Mississippi is getting a little help from his trial lawyer friends in Florida.
ColomOn Oct. 22, she will be in Columbus, Mississippi, with Scott Colom, who would be the state’s first Black U.S. senator since post-Civil War Reconstruction.
Colom drew 91 percent support among Black voters and led 56 percent to 44 percent among voters aged 18 to 29.
Cindy Hyde-Smith, the Mississippi Republican U.S. senator, is featured in a campaign-linked video criticizing consumer concerns over beef prices.
Health care is emerging as a central issue in Mississippi’s U.S. Senate race, with incumbent Sen.
Colom
Hyde-SmithHe also said he’d be willing to work with Republicans, pointing to his support for gun rights and securing the U.S.-Mexico border.
ColomProsecutor Scott Colom is trying to unseat Republican Cindy Hyde-Smith and become the state's first newly elected U.S. senator since 1946.
ColomHyde-SmithCindy Hyde-Smith, the Republican incumbent U.S. Senator from Mississippi, campaigned at the Pearl Community Center on October 14, 2026, as candidates across the state increased outreach ahead of the midterm elections…
Hyde-SmithThe FiveThirtySix/Sabato’s Crystal Ball rating update moves Mississippi’s Senate race (Cindy Hyde-Smith, R) from Safe Republican to Likely Republican.
Hyde-SmithNo story this week names this candidate.
The green line is the TruthIndex™, the chance of this outcome. It combines the prices on both venues and gives more weight to the venue with more money in its order book. The two thinner lines are Polymarket's and Kalshi's own prices, and the grey band between them shows how far apart the two venues are.
The pale bands behind the lines are the rating zones (Toss-up, Lean, Likely and Safe), so you can see when the race moved from one rating to another. Move along the chart, or use the arrow keys, to read the values for each day.
More in Methodology| Outcome | TruthIndex™ | Polymarket | Kalshi | Spread | 24h | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RCindy Hyde-Smith | 89.5% | 90.5% | 89.0% | 1.5 pts | – | |
| DScott Colom | 11.0% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 1.0 pts | – |
Image cards with the current TruthIndex™, for posts and stories.
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Cindy Hyde-Smith, a Republican and former Mississippi agriculture commissioner, has represented Mississippi in the U.S. Senate since 2018 and seeks reelection in 2026.
Scott Colom, a Democrat and district attorney for Mississippi's 16th Judicial District since 2016, is challenging Republican Senator Cindy Hyde-Smith in the 2026 election.
Each venue's margin market, shown on its own: the two venues set their ranges differently.
Mississippi Senate margin of victory
| Smith, 3+ pts | 81.0% | |
| Smith, 5+ pts | 69.0% | |
| Smith, 7+ pts | 50.0% | |
| Smith, 9+ pts | 36.0% | |
| Smith, 11+ pts | 27.5% | |
| Smith, 13+ pts | 12.6% | |
| Smith, 15+ pts | 5.8% | |
| Smith, 17+ pts | 3.5% | |
| Smith, 19+ pts | 5.4% implied | |
| Smith, 21+ pts | 4.8% implied | |
| Smith, 23+ pts | 4.6% implied |
Prices which party wins.
Cindy Hyde-Smith: Counted · bid 90.0% / ask 91.0% · $13.7K within 5 pts
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Mississippi U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Full rules on PolymarketPrices which party wins.
Cindy Hyde-Smith: Counted · bid 88.0% / ask 90.0% · $23.9K within 5 pts
Contract shown: Cindy Hyde-Smith
If a representative of the Republican party is sworn in as a Senator of Mississippi for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
