Updated Oct 16, 2026, 2:28 PM ET
Ballot measure · 3 November 2026
Arizona: Proposition 316
- Polymarket
- –
- Kalshi
- 89.5%
- Spread
- –
- 24h
- –
- 7 days
- –
- Updated
- Oct 16, 2026, 2:28 PM ET
Yes price, last 60 days
How to read this chart
The green line is the TruthIndex™, the chance of this outcome. Only one venue lists it, so the figure comes from that venue alone. The thinner line is that venue's own daily price.
The pale bands behind the lines are the rating zones (Toss-up, Lean, Likely and Safe), so you can see when the race moved from one rating to another. Move along the chart, or use the arrow keys, to read the values for each day.
More in MethodologyEach venue's market
Kalshi1 contracts traded
Prices whether the measure passes.
Yes: Not counted: bid and ask more than 10 pts apart · bid 80.0% / ask 99.0%
If Proposition 316 passes in Arizona, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.
Also in Arizona
- Arizona GovernorD88%
- AZ-01 HouseD80%
- AZ-02 HouseR75%
- AZ-03 HouseD99%
- AZ-04 HouseD95%
- AZ-05 HouseR90%
- AZ-06 HouseD84%
- AZ-07 HouseD99%