Missouri: Congressional Map Referendum
- Polymarket
- 25.5%
- Kalshi
- –
- Spread
- –
- 24h
- –
- 7 days
- –
- Updated
- Oct 16, 2026, 2:28 PM ET
Yes price, last 60 days
How to read this chart
The green line is the TruthIndex™, the chance of this outcome. Only one venue lists it, so the figure comes from that venue alone. The thinner line is that venue's own daily price.
The pale bands behind the lines are the rating zones (Toss-up, Lean, Likely and Safe), so you can see when the race moved from one rating to another. Move along the chart, or use the arrow keys, to read the values for each day.
More in MethodologyEach venue's market
Polymarket$95 traded
Prices whether the measure passes.
Yes: Not counted: bid and ask more than 10 pts apart · bid 6.0% / ask 45.0%
The Missouri Congressional Map Referendum is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would uphold the new congressional district map enacted in 2025. This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of a Missouri statewide election held on or before November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Missouri, including the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov/).
Full rules on PolymarketAlso in Missouri
- MO-01 HouseD98%
- MO-02 HouseR77%
- MO-03 HouseR96%
- MO-04 HouseR96%
- MO-05 HouseD96%
- MO-06 HouseR96%
- MO-07 HouseR97%
- MO-08 HouseR98%