US Midterms 2026
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Recent coverage for MO-08 House.
The article profiles Republican Chris Stigall's campaign for Missouri's 6th Congressional District, focusing on his policy emphasis and campaign stance.
The Economic Club of Washington DC covered its May 15, 2025 Signature Event featuring The Honorable Jason Smith, the Chairman of the U.S. House of Representatives Committee on Ways and Means.
SmithSummary tailored to your query: "Chris Reichard" MO-08 House
Missouri House Rep. Jason Smith (MO-08) participated in a Washington advocacy event with Sullivan County hospital leaders. The group met with staff from Rep. Smith’s office as well as other Missouri lawmakers (Reps.
H.R. 6500 (AGOA reauthorization) sponsored by Rep. Jason Smith (R-MO) passed in the House with a 340-54 vote.
SmithFarmers who decide to run will also have the job of educating their fellow members of Congress, Newhouse said.
The Missouri House 2024 race landscape: Democrats aim to flip at least three seats to end Republicans’ seven-election supermajority streak; Democrats are targeting 12 districts, Republicans defending 13.
The race for the Republican chairmanship of the House Ways and Means Committee is already under way, with two main contenders: Rep. Adrian Smith (R-NE) and Rep. Darin LaHood (R-IL).
The article is an interview feature with Chris Stigall, the Republican candidate for Missouri’s 6th Congressional District (MO-06), which is in North Missouri. The district is open with no incumbent.
The article covers the Missouri House District 158 race in 2026, featuring incumbent Republican Scott Cupps and Democrat challenger Chris Foster.
No story this week names this candidate.
The green line is the TruthIndex™, the chance of this outcome. It combines the prices on both venues and gives more weight to the venue with more money in its order book. The two thinner lines are Polymarket's and Kalshi's own prices, and the grey band between them shows how far apart the two venues are.
The pale bands behind the lines are the rating zones (Toss-up, Lean, Likely and Safe), so you can see when the race moved from one rating to another. Move along the chart, or use the arrow keys, to read the values for each day.
More in Methodology| Outcome | TruthIndex™ | Polymarket | Kalshi | Spread | 24h | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RJason Smith | 98.0% | 97.8% | 98.2% | 0.4 pts | – | |
| DChris Reichard | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.0 pts | – |
Image cards with the current TruthIndex™, for posts and stories.
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Chris Reichard, a Democratic construction worker, is his party's nominee in 2026 for Missouri's 8th congressional district, where he faces Republican incumbent Jason Smith.
Jason Smith, a Republican who has represented Missouri's 8th congressional district since 2013 and chairs the House Ways and Means Committee, seeks reelection in 2026 against Democrat Chris Reichard.
Each venue's margin market, shown on its own: the two venues set their ranges differently.
Missouri's 8th District margin of victory
| Republicans, 29+ pts | 96.5% | |
| Republicans, 32+ pts | 95.3% | |
| Republicans, 35+ pts | 76.5% | |
| Republicans, 38+ pts | 73.0% implied | |
| Republicans, 41+ pts | 64.0% implied | |
| Republicans, 44+ pts | 51.5% | |
| Republicans, 47+ pts | 35.5% | |
| Republicans, 50+ pts | 20.0% | |
| Republicans, 53+ pts | 8.9% | |
| Republicans, 56+ pts | 7.6% implied | |
| Republicans, 59+ pts | 5.3% implied |
MO-08 House Election Margin of Victory
| Democrat Wins | 0.5% | |
| Republican 0-20% | – | |
| Republican 20-30% | 3.1% | |
| Republican 30-35% | 3.0% | |
| Republican 35-40% | 24.3% | |
| Republican 40-45% | 28.5% | |
| Republican 45-50% | 27.0% | |
| Republican 50-55% | 20.5% | |
| Republican 55-60% | 3.6% | |
| Republican 60%+ | 1.0% |
Prices which party wins.
Jason Smith: Counted · bid 96.4% / ask 99.3% · $1.3K within 5 pts
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Full rules on PolymarketPrices which party wins.
Jason Smith: Counted · bid 96.7% / ask 99.7% · $680 within 5 pts
Contract shown: Jason Smith
If the House member sworn in for MO-08 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
