US Midterms 2026
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Recent coverage for KS-02 House.
Former Kansas Attorney General Derek Schmidt has entered the race for Kansas’ 2nd Congressional District, signaling a clear strong candidacy and potentially reshaping the field.
SchmidtDerek Schmidt attended the Kansas GOP bus tour stop for the Shawnee County GOP Eisenhower Dinner, joining Attorney General Kris Kobach at the event.
SchmidtOur colleague Ryan Kelly has more on the voting records of these vulnerable Republicans, including how they may or may not have shifted from 2025.
Farmers who decide to run will also have the job of educating their fellow members of Congress, Newhouse said.
The article reports that the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee (DCCC) added eight target districts to its midterm map, aiming to flip seats currently held by Republicans or an open seat.
Don Coover has entered the race to challenge Rep. Jake LaTurner in Kansas’s 2nd Congressional District (KS-02).
The article reports on Kansas City, Kansas government news about the debut of the first single-section CrossMod infill homes in a ribbon-cutting near Klamm Park.
SchmidtDerek Schmidt is the NFIB-endorsed incumbent candidate for Kansas’s 2nd Congressional District (KS-02) in the U.S. House of Representatives.
SchmidtNo story this week names this candidate.
The green line is the TruthIndex™, the chance of this outcome. It combines the prices on both venues and gives more weight to the venue with more money in its order book. The two thinner lines are Polymarket's and Kalshi's own prices, and the grey band between them shows how far apart the two venues are.
The pale bands behind the lines are the rating zones (Toss-up, Lean, Likely and Safe), so you can see when the race moved from one rating to another. Move along the chart, or use the arrow keys, to read the values for each day.
More in Methodology| Outcome | TruthIndex™ | Polymarket | Kalshi | Spread | 24h | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RDerek Schmidt | 87.1% | 87.0% | 88.0% | 1.0 pts | – | |
| DDon Coover | 12.9% | 13.0% | 11.3% | 1.7 pts | – |
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Derek Schmidt, a Republican who served as Kansas attorney general from 2011 to 2023 and has represented Kansas's 2nd congressional district since 2025, seeks re-election in 2026 against Democrat Don Coover.
Don Coover, a Democrat and veterinarian, is his party's nominee for Kansas's 2nd congressional district in 2026, challenging Republican incumbent Derek Schmidt in the November 3 general election.
Each venue's margin market, shown on its own: the two venues set their ranges differently.
Kansas's 2nd District margin of victory
| Schmidt, 1+ pts | 87.9% | |
| Schmidt, 4+ pts | 73.0% implied | |
| Schmidt, 7+ pts | 63.0% | |
| Schmidt, 10+ pts | 47.5% | |
| Schmidt, 13+ pts | 37.0% | |
| Schmidt, 16+ pts | 23.5% | |
| Schmidt, 19+ pts | 13.6% | |
| Schmidt, 22+ pts | 6.6% | |
| Schmidt, 25+ pts | 7.2% implied |
KS-02 House Election Margin of Victory
| Republican 21%+ | – | |
| Republican 18-21% | – | |
| Republican 15-18% | – | |
| Republican 12-15% | 19.0% | |
| Republican 9-12% | 18.0% | |
| Republican 6-9% | 16.5% | |
| Republican 3-6% | 16.5% | |
| Republican 0-3% | 4.5% | |
| Democrat 0-3% | 3.6% | |
| Democrat 3%+ | 5.2% |
Prices which party wins.
Derek Schmidt: Counted · bid 86.0% / ask 88.0% · $16.7K within 5 pts
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Full rules on PolymarketPrices which party wins.
Derek Schmidt: Counted · bid 86.0% / ask 90.0% · $1.4K within 5 pts
Contract shown: Derek Schmidt
If the House member sworn in for KS-02 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
