Updated Oct 16, 2026, 1:45 PM ET
Governor · 3 November 2026

Oklahoma Governor 2026

90.5% RMike Mazzei leads TruthIndex™Safe R
Polymarket
90.5%
Kalshi
90.5%
Spread
0.8 pts
24h
–
7 days
−2.0
Updated
Oct 16, 2026, 1:45 PM ET
Latest coverage

Live News

Recent coverage for Oklahoma Governor.

  1. MEET THE CANDIDATES: Who is running for office in Oklahoma

    He defeated incumbent Oklahoma Attorney General Gentner Drummond in an August runoff election to win the nomination.

  2. Oklahoma reopens Jim Thorpe building after $70M renovation

    OKLAHOMA CITY: After three years and $70 million of renovations, state leaders announced Wednesday that the Jim Thorpe Office Building on the Oklahoma State Capitol Complex is reopening.

    journalrecord.comMazzeiMunson
  3. State Question 845 asks Oklahoma voters to change judge selection process

    That means if Mike Mazzei, a Republican, is elected governor, he could add only one additional Republican to the commission in his first term.

    The OklahomanMazzei
  4. Stacey Abrams speaks at OKC luncheon, rallies behind Cyndi Munson

    When national voting rights advocate, author and political leader Stacey Abrams recalled taking photos with a slew of people running for public office in

    Wichita EagleMunson
  5. Stacey Abrams speaks at 2026 Powerful Women's Luncheon in Oklahoma City

    Oklahoma City School Board Member Galilea Martinez talks with Sen. Julia Kirt. Stacey Abrams was the guest speaker at Sally’s List luncheon at the National Cowboy and Western Heritage Museum, Wednesday, Oct. 14, 2026.

    The OklahomanMunson
More coverage 8
  1. Oklahoma Midterm Elections 2026: Key Races, Candidates and Past Results

    See whether Oklahoma's 2026 early voters participated in the 2022 and 2024 elections, broken down by party.

    NBC NewsMunsonHern
  2. Oklahoma Governor Poll: Mazzei, Munson in Statistical Tie

    With three weeks until Election Day, a new Cross Timbers Poll puts Republican Mike Mazzei at 39% and Democrat Cyndi Munson at 36% among likely voters.

    hoodline.comMazzei
  3. What does the latest Oklahoma governor poll show about Mike Mazzei and Cyndi Munson?

    Split-screen photo of Oklahoma governor candidates Cyndi Munson, wearing a yellow dress, and Mike Mazzei, wearing a dark suit and red tie.

    KOTVMazzeiMunsonAlso in KWTV-News9
  4. Oklahoma Midterm: Republican gubernatorial candidate Mike Mazzei

    Mazzei is a Tulsa businessman who earned his Bachelor of Arts in government and politics from George Mason University and a Master of Science in personal financial planning from the College for Financial Planning.

    KOCO News 5Mazzei
  5. Oklahoma Midterm: Democratic gubernatorial candidate Cyndi Munson

    Cyndi Munson is the Democratic candidate in Oklahoma’s gubernatorial race. She previously served in the Oklahoma House (District 85), becoming the first Asian-American woman elected to the Oklahoma Legislature.

    KOCO News 5Munson
  6. Oklahoma lawmaker urges pause on new medical marijuana rules

    October 14, 2026 [...] ## Dawn Aerospace breaks ground on $7.5M spaceplane facilities in Burns Flat

    journalrecord.comMazzei
  7. Oklahoma governor’s race remains a statistical tie, poll finds

    Republican Mike Mazzei and Democrat Cyndi Munson remain in a statistical tie in the Oklahoma governor’s race, according to a second survey from Cross Timbers Poll, a nonpartisan, member-funded polling project.

    journalrecord.comMazzeiMunson
  8. University of Tulsa aims to promote civic engagement in latest candidate forum

    Cyndi Munson, a Democratic gubernatorial candidate in Oklahoma, attended a University of Tulsa candidate forum aimed at promoting civic engagement.

    KJRHMunson

Mike Mazzei, last 60 days

How to read this chart

The green line is the TruthIndex™, the chance of this outcome. It combines the prices on both venues and gives more weight to the venue with more money in its order book. The two thinner lines are Polymarket's and Kalshi's own prices, and the grey band between them shows how far apart the two venues are.

The pale bands behind the lines are the rating zones (Toss-up, Lean, Likely and Safe), so you can see when the race moved from one rating to another. Move along the chart, or use the arrow keys, to read the values for each day.

More in Methodology
TruthIndex™PolymarketKalshiGap between the venuesRating zones

All outcomes

OutcomeTruthIndex™PolymarketKalshiSpread24h
RMike Mazzei 90.5% 90.5% 90.5% 0.0 pts –
DCyndi Munson 8.8% 8.5% 9.3% 0.8 pts –

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Candidates & Background

Cyndi Munson

Cyndi Munson

Democratic Minority Leader of the Oklahoma House of Representatives (since 2022)

Cyndi Munson, minority leader of the Oklahoma House of Representatives since 2022, is the Democrats' 2026 nominee for Oklahoma governor.

Born 1985 · Monterey, California
Mike Mazzei

Mike Mazzei

Republican Chairman and CEO of Trinity Strategic Wealth

Mike Mazzei, a Republican former Oklahoma state senator who served as secretary of budget under Governor Kevin Stitt, is the 2026 Republican nominee for governor of Oklahoma.

Born 1965

Margin of victory

Each venue's margin market, shown on its own: the two venues set their ranges differently.

Kalshi7.1K contracts

Oklahoma Governor margin of victory

Mazzei, 1+ pts
88.0%
Mazzei, 4+ pts
80.0%
Mazzei, 7+ pts
62.5%
Mazzei, 10+ pts
45.5%
Mazzei, 13+ pts
30.5%
Mazzei, 16+ pts
19.0%
Mazzei, 19+ pts
9.8%
Mazzei, 22+ pts
6.5%
Mazzei, 25+ pts
5.9%
Mazzei, 28+ pts
5.9%
Mazzei, 31+ pts
4.7%
implied
Mazzei, 34+ pts
4.5%
implied
Source: Kalshi market

Polymarket$19.8K traded

Oklahoma Governor Election Margin of Victory

Democrat Wins
8.0%
Republican 0-5%
12.9%
Republican 5-10%
19.5%
Republican 10-15%
23.0%
Republican 15-20%
12.8%
Republican 20-25%
6.0%
Republican 25-30%
3.2%
Republican 30-35%
2.9%
Republican 35%+
3.9%
Source: Polymarket market

Each venue's market

Polymarket$44.7K traded

Prices which party wins.

Mike Mazzei: Counted · bid 90.0% / ask 91.0% · $4.6K within 5 pts

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Oklahoma gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Full rules on Polymarket

Kalshi224.4K contracts traded

Prices which party wins.

Mike Mazzei: Counted · bid 90.1% / ask 90.9% · $5.6K within 5 pts

Contract shown: Mike Mazzei

If a representative of the Republican party is inaugurated as the governor of Oklahoma pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.

This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Full rules on Kalshi