Updated Oct 16, 2026, 2:22 PM ET
Mayor · 3 November 2026

Flint Mayor 2026

85.0% Sheldon Neeley leads TruthIndex™ · Kalshi onlyOther leader
Polymarket
–
Kalshi
85.0%
Spread
–
24h
−0.5
7 days
+2.5
Updated
Oct 16, 2026, 2:22 PM ET
Latest coverage

Live News

Recent coverage for Flint Mayor.

  1. Flint mayoral candidate Tonya Burns meets residents, pitches unity on key issues

    Burns said she wants to bring the community together to address issues including housing, public safety and economic development.

    midmichigannow.comBurnsNeeley
  2. 10-year-old shot while sleeping in Flint home; police say not the intended target

    “We have to adjust our plan according to these stats,” Green said. “So we're definitely going to put all our efforts and all of our resources, technology, anything we can to break this cycle is current cycle of…

    midmichigannow.comBurns
  3. Flint Township voters to decide on changing name to Oak Hills

    Flint Township voters in Genesee County, Michigan, will decide in November whether to change the township’s name to Oak Hills.

    WNEMBurns
  4. Flint transforms ordinary school day into circus adventure for approximately 400 children

    Tonya Burns is not mentioned in the article. The piece centers on Flint Mayor Sheldon Neeley welcoming UniverSoul Circus to Flint for a two-hour Circus Camp at Flint Southwestern Classical Academy, engaging about 400…

    themichigantimes.comBurnsNeeley
  5. Flint restaurant names new sandwich after Mayor Neeley with proceeds supporting YWCA domestic violence program

    Flint’s Mayor Sheldon Neeley is honored with a new “Mayor Neeley Signature Sandwich” at Hoffman’s Deco Deli & Cafe.

    themichigantimes.comBurnsNeeley
More coverage 3
  1. Flint's largest employee union and police sergeants ratify labor agreements awaiting City Council approval

    The article reports that Flint’s largest employee union and the police sergeants ratified labor agreements, with Mayor Sheldon Neeley highlighting the importance of a productive relationship between city leadership and…

    themichigantimes.comBurnsNeeley
  2. Flint students see circus and learn fun tricks

    Flint Mayor Sheldon Neeley emphasizes the importance of exposing young students to cultural practices and the performing arts, noting that programs featuring performers who look like the students are crucial and that…

    midmichigannow.comNeeley
  3. Flint Voter Guide 2026: What’s on the Nov. 3 Ballot

    The Flint Voter Guide 2026 lists Sheldon Neeley as the incumbent candidate for Flint Mayor, with Tonya Burns as another candidate on the ballot, plus write-ins Linda Anthony and Daron Rice.

    flintside.comNeeley

Sheldon Neeley, last 60 days

How to read this chart

The green line is the TruthIndex™, the chance of this outcome. Only one venue lists it, so the figure comes from that venue alone. The thinner line is that venue's own daily price.

The pale bands behind the lines are the rating zones (Toss-up, Lean, Likely and Safe), so you can see when the race moved from one rating to another. Move along the chart, or use the arrow keys, to read the values for each day.

More in Methodology
TruthIndex™KalshiRating zones

All outcomes

OutcomeTruthIndex™Kalshi24h
Sheldon Neeley 85.0%
Kalshi only
85.0% −0.5
Tonya Burns 6.0%
Kalshi only
6.0% −1.0

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Candidates & Background

Sheldon Neeley

Sheldon Neeley

Mayor of Flint, Michigan (since 2019)

Sheldon Neeley, a Democrat and former state representative who has been mayor of Flint, Michigan, since 2019, is seeking another term in the 2026 mayoral election.

Born 1968 · Flint, Michigan
Tonya Burns

Tonya Burns

Member of the Flint City Council, 6th ward

Tonya Burns, a Flint city councilor representing the 6th ward, faces incumbent mayor Sheldon Neeley in the November 3, 2026, general election for mayor of Flint.

Each venue's market

Kalshi585 contracts traded

Prices which candidate wins.

Sheldon Neeley: Counted · bid 83.0% / ask 87.0% · $222 within 5 pts

Contract shown: Sheldon Neeley

If Sheldon Neeley wins the 2026 Flint, Michigan mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes.

This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

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